When did it go wrong? The case of Greek sovereign debt

Vasilis Sarafidis, Anastasios Panagiotelis, Theodore Panagiotidis

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter (Book)Researchpeer-review

Abstract

This chapter analyses the fiscal stance of the Greek public sector over the period 2001-2016. It distinguishes between three periods: 2001-2006, during which the Greek economy attained much larger growth rates than most EU countries but despite that the general government primary deficit was on average about 2 percentage points higher than the EU-28 average; 2007-2009, during which the primary fiscal deficit soared, reaching a record value of 10.1% in 2009; finally, 2010-2016, during which the Greek economy entered a long phase of fiscal consolidation and by 2014 the fiscal budget even experienced a small primary surplus. What factors contributed to more-than-average (relative to the EU countries) fiscal imbalances during the first phase, in spite of high economic growth? Was the 2009 fiscal deficit revenue or expenditure driven? How was fiscal consolidation achieved during the last phase? What implications does this bear for future economic growth rate and the ability of Greece to pay back its debt? The chapter concludes by providing some recommendations for future fiscal policy making and the way ahead.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationThe Greek Debt Crisis
Subtitle of host publicationIn Quest of Growth in Times of Austerity
EditorsChristos Floros, Ionnis Chatziantoniou
Place of PublicationCham Switzerland
PublisherPalgrave Macmillan
Pages1-35
Number of pages35
Edition1st
ISBN (Electronic)9783319591025
ISBN (Print)9783319591018
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2017

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