What determines the yen swap spread?

Asm Sohel Azad, Jonathan Andrew Batten, Victor K F Fang

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

    Abstract

    We investigate if Japanese yen denominated interest rate swap spreads price risks in addition to liquidity and default risk. These additional risks include: the time-varying correlation between interest rates of different types and maturities; business cycle risk; and market skewness risk. Our analysis, over a number of different maturities and sample periods, supports the existence of an additional risk premium. We also show that the time-varying correlation between short term market interest rates (e.g., TIBOR) and the longer term Government bond yield (e.g., Gensaki) is of particular importance. Japanese yen swap spreads are shown to contain both pro-cyclical and counter-cyclical elements of business cycle risk, positive risk premia for skewness risk and variable risk premia for correlation risk (between fixed and floating interest rates).
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)1 - 13
    Number of pages13
    JournalInternational Review of Financial Analysis
    Volume40
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2015

    Cite this

    Azad, Asm Sohel ; Batten, Jonathan Andrew ; Fang, Victor K F. / What determines the yen swap spread?. In: International Review of Financial Analysis. 2015 ; Vol. 40. pp. 1 - 13.
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    What determines the yen swap spread? / Azad, Asm Sohel; Batten, Jonathan Andrew; Fang, Victor K F.

    In: International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol. 40, 2015, p. 1 - 13.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

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    AB - We investigate if Japanese yen denominated interest rate swap spreads price risks in addition to liquidity and default risk. These additional risks include: the time-varying correlation between interest rates of different types and maturities; business cycle risk; and market skewness risk. Our analysis, over a number of different maturities and sample periods, supports the existence of an additional risk premium. We also show that the time-varying correlation between short term market interest rates (e.g., TIBOR) and the longer term Government bond yield (e.g., Gensaki) is of particular importance. Japanese yen swap spreads are shown to contain both pro-cyclical and counter-cyclical elements of business cycle risk, positive risk premia for skewness risk and variable risk premia for correlation risk (between fixed and floating interest rates).

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