Trends in diabetes and obesity in Samoa over 35 years, 1978-2013

S. Lin, T. Naseri, C. Linhart, S. Morrell, R. Taylor, S.T. Mcgarvey, D.J. Magliano, P. Zimmet

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Abstract

Aims: Population surveys of Type 2 diabetes mellitus and obesity conducted in Samoa over three decades have used varying methodologies and definitions. This study standardizes measures, and trends of Type 2 diabetes mellitus and obesity for 1978-2013 are projected to 2020 for adults aged 25-64 years. Methods: Unit records from eight surveys (n = 12 516) were adjusted to the previous census for Division of residence, sex and age to improve national representativeness. Type 2 diabetes mellitus is defined as a fasting plasma glucose ≥ 7.0 mmol/l and/or on medication. Obesity is defined as BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2. Random effects meta-regression was employed to assess time trends following logit transformation. Poisson regression from strata was used to assess the effects of mean BMI changes on Type 2 diabetes mellitus period trends. Results: Over 1978-2013, Type 2 diabetes mellitus prevalence increased from 1.2% to 19.6% in men (2.3% per 5 years), and from 2.2% to 19.5% in women (2.2% per 5 years). Obesity prevalence increased from 27.7% to 53.1% in men (3.6% per 5 years) and from 44.4% to 76.7% (4.5% per 5 years) in women. Type 2 diabetes mellitus and obesity prevalences increased in all age groups. From period trends, Type 2 diabetes mellitus prevalence in 2020 is projected to be 26% in men and women. Projected obesity prevalence is projected to be 59% in men and 81% in women. Type 2 diabetes mellitus period trends attributable to BMI increase are estimated as 31% (men) and 16% (women), after adjusting for age. Conclusion: This is the first study to produce trends of Type 2 diabetes mellitus and obesity in Samoa based on standardized data from population surveys. Type 2 diabetes mellitus is equally prevalent in both sexes, and obesity is widespread. Type 2 diabetes mellitus prevalence in Samoa is likely to continue to increase in the near future.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)654-661
Number of pages8
JournalDiabetic Medicine
Volume34
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 2017
Externally publishedYes

Cite this

Lin, S., Naseri, T., Linhart, C., Morrell, S., Taylor, R., Mcgarvey, S. T., Magliano, D. J., & Zimmet, P. (2017). Trends in diabetes and obesity in Samoa over 35 years, 1978-2013. Diabetic Medicine, 34(5), 654-661. https://doi.org/10.1111/dme.13197