Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere

Scott Power, Ramiro Saurral, Christine Chung, Rob Colman, Viatcheslav Kharin, George Boer, Joelle Gergis, Benjamin Henley, Shayne McGregor, Julie Arblaster, Neil Holbrook, Giovanni Liguori

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearch

Abstract

Multi-year (2-7 years) and decadal climate variability (MDCV) can have a profound influence on lives, livelihoods and economies. Consequently, learning more about the causes of this variability, the extent to which it can be predicted, and the greater the clarity that we can provide on the climatic conditions that will unfold over coming years and decades is a high priority for the research community. This importance is reflected in new initiatives by WCRP, CLIVAR, and in the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (Boer et al., 2016) that target this area of research. Here we briefly examine some of the things we know, and have recently learnt, about the causes and predictability of Southern Hemisphere MDCV (SH MDCV), and current skill in its prediction.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)32-40
Number of pages9
JournalPast Global Changes Magazine
Volume25
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2017

Cite this

Power, S., Saurral, R., Chung, C., Colman, R., Kharin, V., Boer, G., ... Liguori, G. (2017). Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere. Past Global Changes Magazine, 25(1), 32-40. https://doi.org/10.22498/pages.25.1.32
Power, Scott ; Saurral, Ramiro ; Chung, Christine ; Colman, Rob ; Kharin, Viatcheslav ; Boer, George ; Gergis, Joelle ; Henley, Benjamin ; McGregor, Shayne ; Arblaster, Julie ; Holbrook, Neil ; Liguori, Giovanni . / Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere. In: Past Global Changes Magazine. 2017 ; Vol. 25, No. 1. pp. 32-40.
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abstract = "Multi-year (2-7 years) and decadal climate variability (MDCV) can have a profound influence on lives, livelihoods and economies. Consequently, learning more about the causes of this variability, the extent to which it can be predicted, and the greater the clarity that we can provide on the climatic conditions that will unfold over coming years and decades is a high priority for the research community. This importance is reflected in new initiatives by WCRP, CLIVAR, and in the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (Boer et al., 2016) that target this area of research. Here we briefly examine some of the things we know, and have recently learnt, about the causes and predictability of Southern Hemisphere MDCV (SH MDCV), and current skill in its prediction.",
author = "Scott Power and Ramiro Saurral and Christine Chung and Rob Colman and Viatcheslav Kharin and George Boer and Joelle Gergis and Benjamin Henley and Shayne McGregor and Julie Arblaster and Neil Holbrook and Giovanni Liguori",
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Power, S, Saurral, R, Chung, C, Colman, R, Kharin, V, Boer, G, Gergis, J, Henley, B, McGregor, S, Arblaster, J, Holbrook, N & Liguori, G 2017, 'Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere', Past Global Changes Magazine, vol. 25, no. 1, pp. 32-40. https://doi.org/10.22498/pages.25.1.32

Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere. / Power, Scott; Saurral, Ramiro ; Chung, Christine; Colman, Rob; Kharin, Viatcheslav ; Boer, George ; Gergis, Joelle; Henley, Benjamin ; McGregor, Shayne; Arblaster, Julie ; Holbrook, Neil ; Liguori, Giovanni .

In: Past Global Changes Magazine, Vol. 25, No. 1, 2017, p. 32-40.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearch

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AU - Power, Scott

AU - Saurral, Ramiro

AU - Chung, Christine

AU - Colman, Rob

AU - Kharin, Viatcheslav

AU - Boer, George

AU - Gergis, Joelle

AU - Henley, Benjamin

AU - McGregor, Shayne

AU - Arblaster, Julie

AU - Holbrook, Neil

AU - Liguori, Giovanni

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AB - Multi-year (2-7 years) and decadal climate variability (MDCV) can have a profound influence on lives, livelihoods and economies. Consequently, learning more about the causes of this variability, the extent to which it can be predicted, and the greater the clarity that we can provide on the climatic conditions that will unfold over coming years and decades is a high priority for the research community. This importance is reflected in new initiatives by WCRP, CLIVAR, and in the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (Boer et al., 2016) that target this area of research. Here we briefly examine some of the things we know, and have recently learnt, about the causes and predictability of Southern Hemisphere MDCV (SH MDCV), and current skill in its prediction.

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