The impact of exchange rate volatility on German-US trade flows

Michael D. McKenzie, Robert D. Brooks

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91 Citations (Scopus)


This paper analyses the effect of exchange rate volatility on Germany-US bilateral trade flows for the period 1973:4-1992:9. ARCH models are used to generate a measure of exchange rate volatility and are then tested against Germany's exports to, and imports from, the US. This paper differs from many papers previously published as the effects of volatility are found to be positive and statistically significant for the period under review. The debate over the use of real or nominal exchange rate data in the derivation of volatility estimation is also addressed.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)73-87
Number of pages15
JournalJournal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 1997
Externally publishedYes


  • Exchange rate volatility
  • Trade flows

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