TY - JOUR
T1 - The experiment is just as important as the likelihood in understanding the prior
T2 - a cautionary note on robust cognitive modeling
AU - Kennedy, Lauren
AU - Simpson, Daniel
AU - Gelman, Andrew
N1 - Funding Information:
DS is supported by Canadian Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council and the Canadian Research Chairs program, LK and AG wish to thank the U.S. Institute for Education Sciences (R305D190048) and Office of Naval Research (N00014-19-1-2204) for partial support of this work.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2019, Society for Mathematical Psychology.
Copyright:
Copyright 2021 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.
PY - 2019/12
Y1 - 2019/12
N2 - Cognitive modeling shares many features with statistical modeling, making it seem trivial to borrow from the practices of robust Bayesian statistics to protect the practice of robust cognitive modeling. We take one aspect of statistical workflow—prior predictive checks—and explore how they might be applied to a cognitive modeling task. We find that it is not only the likelihood that is needed to interpret the priors, we also need to incorporate experiment information as well. This suggests that while cognitive modeling might borrow from statistical practices, especially workflow, care must be taken to make the necessary adaptions.
AB - Cognitive modeling shares many features with statistical modeling, making it seem trivial to borrow from the practices of robust Bayesian statistics to protect the practice of robust cognitive modeling. We take one aspect of statistical workflow—prior predictive checks—and explore how they might be applied to a cognitive modeling task. We find that it is not only the likelihood that is needed to interpret the priors, we also need to incorporate experiment information as well. This suggests that while cognitive modeling might borrow from statistical practices, especially workflow, care must be taken to make the necessary adaptions.
KW - Bayesian statistics
KW - Robust modeling
KW - Cognitive modeling
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85095529004&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/s42113-019-00051-0
DO - 10.1007/s42113-019-00051-0
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85095529004
SN - 2522-0861
VL - 2
SP - 210
EP - 217
JO - Computational Brain & Behavior
JF - Computational Brain & Behavior
IS - 3-4
ER -