The Effects of Liquidity on Multi-period Portfolio Selection: A Case Study of American Sector ETFs

Rongju Zhang, Nicolas Langrené, Yu Tian, Zili Zhu, Fima C Klebaner, Kais Hamza

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference PaperResearchpeer-review

Abstract

We study a multi-period portfolio optimisation problem incorporating liquidity cost. The objective is to maximise the expected utility of the final wealth over a finite investment horizon where the liquidity cost is formulated as an intermediate cost of rebalancing a portfolio. Our liquidity cost model is built upon the so-called Marginal Supply-Demand Curve which describes the asset price as a function of the trading volume. The main aim of our work is to empirically present how the performance of portfolios varies with different levels of liquidity, with emphasis on how to choose an optimal portfolio. We implement an extended least-squares Monte Carlo algorithm (detailed in [1]) on a portfolio investing in four major sector ETFs in the U.S. market. In terms of the empirical cumulative distribution function, the out-of-sample distribution and the real market performance, we benchmark dynamic strategy against several alternative portfolio strategies such as buy-and-hold strategy, fixed-mix strategy and liquidity-blind dynamic strategy. Our results show that dynamic strategy is dominant in the liquid markets while buy-and-hold strategy is more likely to outperform the others in the illiquid markets.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of 4th Annual International Conference on Operations Research and Statistics
EditorsNasir Ganikhodjaev
Place of PublicationSingapore
PublisherGlobal Science and Technology Forum
Pages75-83
Number of pages9
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2016
EventAnnual International Conference on Operations Research and Statistics (ORS 2016) - Hotel Fort Canning, Singapore
Duration: 18 Jan 201619 Jan 2016
Conference number: 4th
https://web.archive.org/web/20151231021552/http://orstat.org/index.html
https://conferencealerts.com/show-event?id=157083

Publication series

Name
PublisherGlobal Science and Technology Forum
ISSN (Print)2251-1938

Conference

ConferenceAnnual International Conference on Operations Research and Statistics (ORS 2016)
Abbreviated titleORS 2016
CountrySingapore
Period18/01/1619/01/16
Internet address

Keywords

  • portfolio selection
  • liquidity cost
  • marginal supply-demand curve
  • least-squares Monte Carlo
  • stochastic dynamic programming

Cite this

Zhang, R., Langrené, N., Tian, Y., Zhu, Z., Klebaner, F. C., & Hamza, K. (2016). The Effects of Liquidity on Multi-period Portfolio Selection: A Case Study of American Sector ETFs. In N. Ganikhodjaev (Ed.), Proceedings of 4th Annual International Conference on Operations Research and Statistics (pp. 75-83). Singapore: Global Science and Technology Forum. https://doi.org/10.5176/2251-1938_ORS16.21