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The effectiveness of China's RMB exchange rate reforms: an insight from multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis

  • Jing Qin
  • , Xinsheng Lu
  • , Ying Zhou
  • , Ling Qu

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Abstract

This paper examines the effectiveness of the RMB regime reforms on market efficiency improving for the mainland onshore market and Hong Kong offshore market. Based on multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA), we study the multifractal properties as well as multifractality degree of RMB/USD and RMB/HKD exchange markets. Our empirical results show that, the first RMB regime reform undertaken on July 21, 2005 has a greater impact on RMB/USD exchange market in the short term, while the second RMB exchange reform undertaken on June 19, 2010 exerts the long-term influences on the efficiency of both RMB/USD and RMB/HKD markets. Further, RMB/HKD market is found to work more efficiently, although both mainland onshore market and Hong Kong offshore market have achieved a higher level of efficiency post reforms.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)443-454
Number of pages12
JournalPhysica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Volume421
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2015
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Generalized Hurst exponent
  • Multifractality
  • RMB exchange rate regime

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