Stock market spread trading: Argentina and Brazil stock indexes

Jonathan Andrew Batten, Peter Szilagyi, Michael Wong

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

    4 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    Brazil has the largest stock market in South America; Argentina has one of the smallest. We investigate the spread relationship between these two markets, measured as the ratio of Brazil s Bovespa index to Argentina s Merval index. Using rescaled range analysis, we identify the presence of a time-varying fractal structure in this ratio. When a Hurst-based trading rule is applied, we find that episodes of fractality may be exploited by traders. Under some circumstances, these strategies are more profitable than economic gains from simple moving average systems, which exploit the autocorrelation structure of the series.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)61 - 76
    Number of pages16
    JournalEmerging Markets Finance and Trade
    Volume50
    Issue numberS3
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2014

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