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Spatial and association analyses of road accident impact severity in Malaysia During COVID-19

  • Muhammad Naeim Mohd Aris
  • , Muhammad Fadhirul Anuar Mohd Azami
  • , Siti Rahimah Batcha
  • , Shalini Nagaratnam
  • , Zi Chen Cheng

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference PaperOtherpeer-review

Abstract

The study examines the relationship between the impact severity of road accidents and the spatial grouping of Malaysian states during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, addressing the lack of analysis on these trends in Malaysia. The road accidents impact severity is divided into two subgroups, which are injury severity level (i.e., death, bad injury, and light injury) and accident severity category (i.e., fatal, serious, and minor accidents). Nine combinations of these severity levels and categories for each observed year are analyzed using linear regression analysis. The significance and correlation for each combination is observed and studied. Further analysis is performed using quadrant analysis, grouping states based on the mean-centered positions. Subsequently, chi-square analysis is applied to these quadrant-based groups to explore associations between the spatial distribution of states and the combinations of severity levels and categories. The study aims to explore the spatial trends of road accidents in Malaysia, highlighting how accident and injury severities are distributed across different states during the pandemic. The findings showed that only the accident severity categories directly linked to the injury severity level have a strong linear relationship, regardless of the year. Pulau Pinang demonstrated a worsening trend, shifting from Quadrant III in 2020 to Quadrant I in 2021 across all combinations, while Selangor remained in Quadrant I for all cases throughout the pandemic. The impact severity for death and serious accident, as well as for bad injury and fatal accident, showed no significant relationships between the years 2020 and 2021.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationMathematical Modeling and Numerical Analysis
Subtitle of host publicationUICMS 2024, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, October 12–13
EditorsAdibah Shuib, Iskandar Shah Mohd Zawawi, Yu-Hong Dai
Place of PublicationSingapore Singapore
PublisherSpringer
Pages261-279
Number of pages19
Edition1st
ISBN (Electronic)9789819693504
ISBN (Print)9789819693498
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2025
EventUiTM International Conference of Mathematical Sciences 2024 - Perdana Kuala Lumpur City Centre, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Duration: 12 Oct 202413 Oct 2024
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-96-9350-4 (Conference Proceedings)
https://uicms2024.github.io/home (Conference website)

Publication series

NameSpringer Proceedings in Mathematics and Statistics
Volume510
ISSN (Print)2194-1009
ISSN (Electronic)2194-1017

Conference

ConferenceUiTM International Conference of Mathematical Sciences 2024
Abbreviated titleUICMS 2024
Country/TerritoryMalaysia
CityKuala Lumpur
Period12/10/2413/10/24
Internet address

Keywords

  • Chi-square analysis
  • COVID-19
  • Impact severity
  • Quadrant analysis
  • Regression analysis
  • Road accidents

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