TY - JOUR
T1 - Semiparametric volatility model with varying frequencies
AU - Benito, Jetrei Benedick R.
AU - Lansangan, Joseph Ryan G.
AU - Barrios, Erniel B.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 The Author(s). Published with license by Taylor & Francis Group, LLC.
PY - 2024
Y1 - 2024
N2 - Time series data from various sources usually results to variables measured at varying frequencies as this is often dependent on the source. Modeling from these data can be facilitated by aggregating high frequency data to match the relatively lower frequencies of the rest of the variables. This can easily lose vital information that characterizes the system ought to be modeled. Two semiparametric volatility models are postulated to account for covariates of varying frequencies without aggregation of the data to lower frequencies. First is an extension of the autoregressive integrated moving average with explanatory variable, integrating high frequency data into the mean equation. Second is an extension of the Glosten, Jagannathan, and Rankle model that incorporates the high frequency data into the variance equation. High frequency data were introduced as a nonparametric function in both models that are then estimated using a hybrid estimation procedure that benefits from the additive nature of the models. Simulation studies illustrate the advantages of postulated models in terms of predictive ability compared to GJR models that aggregates high frequency covariates to the same frequency as the output variable. An illustration is provided with stock return data from the Philippines.
AB - Time series data from various sources usually results to variables measured at varying frequencies as this is often dependent on the source. Modeling from these data can be facilitated by aggregating high frequency data to match the relatively lower frequencies of the rest of the variables. This can easily lose vital information that characterizes the system ought to be modeled. Two semiparametric volatility models are postulated to account for covariates of varying frequencies without aggregation of the data to lower frequencies. First is an extension of the autoregressive integrated moving average with explanatory variable, integrating high frequency data into the mean equation. Second is an extension of the Glosten, Jagannathan, and Rankle model that incorporates the high frequency data into the variance equation. High frequency data were introduced as a nonparametric function in both models that are then estimated using a hybrid estimation procedure that benefits from the additive nature of the models. Simulation studies illustrate the advantages of postulated models in terms of predictive ability compared to GJR models that aggregates high frequency covariates to the same frequency as the output variable. An illustration is provided with stock return data from the Philippines.
KW - Semiparametric volatility model
KW - Varying frequency time series
KW - VF-ARMA
KW - VF-GARCH
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85193909770&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1080/03610918.2024.2356236
DO - 10.1080/03610918.2024.2356236
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85193909770
SN - 0361-0918
JO - Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation
JF - Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation
ER -