Robust optimisation of urban drought security for an uncertain climate

Mohammad Mortazavi-Naeini, George Kuczera, Anthony S. Kiem, Lijie Cui, Benjamin Henley, Brendan Berghout, Emma Turner

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter (Book)Otherpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)


This chapter considers the problem of finding good and robust solutions for urban bulk water systems in the presence of deep uncertainty about future climate change. It briefly describes the concept of robust multi-objective optimization and then illustrates its application in a case study. The chapter discusses the robust multi-objective optimization approach using a case study based on the Lower Hunter bulk water system. The construction of future climate scenarios has to incorporate the very considerable influence of natural climate variability, the identification problems associated with short hydro-climatological instrumental records and the concern about how human-induced climate change may increase the frequency and severity of future extreme events, including droughts and floods. Decisions or options represent the 'levers' that control the performance of the bulk water system.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationApplied Studies in Climate Adaptation
EditorsJean P Palutikof, Sarah L Boulter, Jon Barnett, David Rissik
Place of PublicationChichester UK
PublisherJohn Wiley & Sons
Number of pages12
ISBN (Print)9781118845011
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2015
Externally publishedYes


  • Lower Hunter bulk water system
  • Robust multi-objective optimization

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