Predicting marathon time using exhaustive graded exercise test in marathon runners

Eloise S. Till, Stuart A. Armstrong, Greg Harris, Stephen Maloney

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Abstract

The study aimed to investigate the correlation between time on a treadmill test and exhaustion 2 weeks before a road marathon and the subsequent road marathon performance time (MPT). The study recruited 59 runners entered in the Melbourne 2012 marathon, Canberra 2013 marathon, and Gold Coast 2013 marathon. Forty runners completed both the graded exercise treadmill test to exhaustion and the 42.2 km marathon. Nineteen participants dropped out of the study due to illness, injury, or did not begin the treadmill test. A statistically significant correlation was found between treadmill time and MPT (adjusted R 2 0.447). Sex, weekly running duration (t-1.58, p 0.12), years of running (t 1.10, p 0.28), and age (t 0.94, p 0.36) did not statistically correlate with MPT. The relationship between the graded exercise test and MPT can be used to predict MPT using y-3.85x + 351.57, where y is MPT and x is treadmill time. This is a simple, accessible, and cost-effective method to aid athletes in predicting their race time over 42.2 km. Prediction of marathon time in a simple and accessible manner was believed to be useful to the growing population of marathon runners around the world.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)512-517
Number of pages6
JournalJournal of Strength and Conditioning Research
Volume30
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Feb 2016

Keywords

  • athletic performance
  • forecasting
  • physical endurance
  • running

Cite this

Till, Eloise S. ; Armstrong, Stuart A. ; Harris, Greg ; Maloney, Stephen. / Predicting marathon time using exhaustive graded exercise test in marathon runners. In: Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research. 2016 ; Vol. 30, No. 2. pp. 512-517.
@article{c4a2fdc38f9d49b7bd2bebf267db910e,
title = "Predicting marathon time using exhaustive graded exercise test in marathon runners",
abstract = "The study aimed to investigate the correlation between time on a treadmill test and exhaustion 2 weeks before a road marathon and the subsequent road marathon performance time (MPT). The study recruited 59 runners entered in the Melbourne 2012 marathon, Canberra 2013 marathon, and Gold Coast 2013 marathon. Forty runners completed both the graded exercise treadmill test to exhaustion and the 42.2 km marathon. Nineteen participants dropped out of the study due to illness, injury, or did not begin the treadmill test. A statistically significant correlation was found between treadmill time and MPT (adjusted R 2 0.447). Sex, weekly running duration (t-1.58, p 0.12), years of running (t 1.10, p 0.28), and age (t 0.94, p 0.36) did not statistically correlate with MPT. The relationship between the graded exercise test and MPT can be used to predict MPT using y-3.85x + 351.57, where y is MPT and x is treadmill time. This is a simple, accessible, and cost-effective method to aid athletes in predicting their race time over 42.2 km. Prediction of marathon time in a simple and accessible manner was believed to be useful to the growing population of marathon runners around the world.",
keywords = "athletic performance, forecasting, physical endurance, running",
author = "Till, {Eloise S.} and Armstrong, {Stuart A.} and Greg Harris and Stephen Maloney",
year = "2016",
month = "2",
day = "1",
doi = "10.1519/JSC.0000000000001152",
language = "English",
volume = "30",
pages = "512--517",
journal = "Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research",
issn = "1064-8011",
publisher = "Lippincott Williams & Wilkins",
number = "2",

}

Predicting marathon time using exhaustive graded exercise test in marathon runners. / Till, Eloise S.; Armstrong, Stuart A.; Harris, Greg; Maloney, Stephen.

In: Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research, Vol. 30, No. 2, 01.02.2016, p. 512-517.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

TY - JOUR

T1 - Predicting marathon time using exhaustive graded exercise test in marathon runners

AU - Till, Eloise S.

AU - Armstrong, Stuart A.

AU - Harris, Greg

AU - Maloney, Stephen

PY - 2016/2/1

Y1 - 2016/2/1

N2 - The study aimed to investigate the correlation between time on a treadmill test and exhaustion 2 weeks before a road marathon and the subsequent road marathon performance time (MPT). The study recruited 59 runners entered in the Melbourne 2012 marathon, Canberra 2013 marathon, and Gold Coast 2013 marathon. Forty runners completed both the graded exercise treadmill test to exhaustion and the 42.2 km marathon. Nineteen participants dropped out of the study due to illness, injury, or did not begin the treadmill test. A statistically significant correlation was found between treadmill time and MPT (adjusted R 2 0.447). Sex, weekly running duration (t-1.58, p 0.12), years of running (t 1.10, p 0.28), and age (t 0.94, p 0.36) did not statistically correlate with MPT. The relationship between the graded exercise test and MPT can be used to predict MPT using y-3.85x + 351.57, where y is MPT and x is treadmill time. This is a simple, accessible, and cost-effective method to aid athletes in predicting their race time over 42.2 km. Prediction of marathon time in a simple and accessible manner was believed to be useful to the growing population of marathon runners around the world.

AB - The study aimed to investigate the correlation between time on a treadmill test and exhaustion 2 weeks before a road marathon and the subsequent road marathon performance time (MPT). The study recruited 59 runners entered in the Melbourne 2012 marathon, Canberra 2013 marathon, and Gold Coast 2013 marathon. Forty runners completed both the graded exercise treadmill test to exhaustion and the 42.2 km marathon. Nineteen participants dropped out of the study due to illness, injury, or did not begin the treadmill test. A statistically significant correlation was found between treadmill time and MPT (adjusted R 2 0.447). Sex, weekly running duration (t-1.58, p 0.12), years of running (t 1.10, p 0.28), and age (t 0.94, p 0.36) did not statistically correlate with MPT. The relationship between the graded exercise test and MPT can be used to predict MPT using y-3.85x + 351.57, where y is MPT and x is treadmill time. This is a simple, accessible, and cost-effective method to aid athletes in predicting their race time over 42.2 km. Prediction of marathon time in a simple and accessible manner was believed to be useful to the growing population of marathon runners around the world.

KW - athletic performance

KW - forecasting

KW - physical endurance

KW - running

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84957091054&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1519/JSC.0000000000001152

DO - 10.1519/JSC.0000000000001152

M3 - Article

VL - 30

SP - 512

EP - 517

JO - Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research

JF - Journal of Strength and Conditioning Research

SN - 1064-8011

IS - 2

ER -