Power generation investment opportunities evaluation: A comparison between net present value and real options approach

Lu Zhe, Ariel Liebman, Yang Dong Zhao

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference PaperResearchpeer-review

6 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

To evaluate an investment project in the competitive electricity market, there are several key factors that affects the project's value: the present value that the project could bring to investor, the possible future course of actions that investor has and the project's management flexibility. The traditional Net Present Value (NPV) criteria has the ability to capture the present value of the project's future cash flow, but it fails to assess the value brought by market uncertainty and management flexibility. By contrast with NPV, the Real Options Approach (ROA) method has the advantage to combining the uncertainty and flexibility in evaluation process. In this paper, a framework for using ROA to evaluate the generation investment opportunity has been proposed. By given a detailed case study, the proposed framework is compared with NPV and showing a different results.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2006 IEEE Power Engineering Society General Meeting, PES
Publication statusPublished - 2006
Externally publishedYes
EventIEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting 2006 - Montreal, Canada
Duration: 18 Jun 200622 Jun 2006
https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/conhome/11204/proceeding (Proceedings)

Conference

ConferenceIEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting 2006
Abbreviated titlePES-GM
Country/TerritoryCanada
CityMontreal
Period18/06/0622/06/06
Internet address

Keywords

  • Binomial tree and market deregulation
  • Black Scholes model
  • Investment evaluation
  • NPV
  • ROA

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