Abstract
Using daily equity price data, we find that most of the 14 Chinese listed banks are highly exposed to the RMB/USD exchange rate. By breaking our data period into two subperiods around the financial crisis, we find that Chinese banks were even more exposed in the post-crisis period, despite the fact that the renminbi reverted to a de facto peg against the dollar in September 2008. This cannot be explained by direct foreign exchange exposure, and we argue that China s banks are subject to substantial indirect exposure as a result of concerns about their loan books in the face of anticipated further appreciation of the RMB. We also find that the exchange rate sensitivities of the twin shares of dual-listed Chinese banks (those listed in China and Hong Kong) are very different a?? not only in magnitude but also in sign. We discuss two possible explanations for this: investor sentiment and a??hot moneya?? inflows into China.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 393 - 421 |
Number of pages | 29 |
Journal | Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy |
Volume | 16 |
Issue number | 3 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2011 |
Externally published | Yes |