Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility

Matthew Collins, Reto Knutti, Julie Arblaster, Jean-Louis Dufresne, Thierry Fichefet, Pierre Friedlingstein, Xuejie Gao, William J. Gutowski, Tim Johns, Gerhard Krinner, Mxolisi Shongwe, Claudia Tebaldi, Andrew J Weaver, Michael F Wehner, Myles R Allen, Tim Andrews, Urs Beyerle, Cecilia M. Bitz, Sandrine Bony, Ben B B Booth

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter (Report)Researchpeer-review

Abstract

This chapter assesses long-term projections of climate change for the end of the 21st century and beyond, where the forced signal depends on the scenario and is typically larger than the internal variability of the climate system. Changes are expressed with respect to a baseline period of 1986–2005, unless otherwise stated.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationClimate Change 2013 - The Physical Science Basis
Subtitle of host publicationContribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
EditorsThomas F. Stocker, Dahe Qin, Gian-Kasper Plattner, Melinda M.B. Tignor, Simon K. Allen, Judith Boschung, Alexander Nauels, Yu Xia, Vincent Bex, Pauline M. Midgley
Place of PublicationNew York NY USA
PublisherCambridge University Press
Chapter12
Pages1029-1136
Number of pages108
ISBN (Print)9781107057991, 9781107661820
Publication statusPublished - 2013
Externally publishedYes

Publication series

NameIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
PublisherCambridge University Press

Cite this

Collins, M., Knutti, R., Arblaster, J., Dufresne, J-L., Fichefet, T., Friedlingstein, P., ... Booth, B. B. B. (2013). Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility. In T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, G-K. Plattner, M. M. B. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, ... P. M. Midgley (Eds.), Climate Change 2013 - The Physical Science Basis: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (pp. 1029-1136). (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). New York NY USA: Cambridge University Press.
Collins, Matthew ; Knutti, Reto ; Arblaster, Julie ; Dufresne, Jean-Louis ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Friedlingstein, Pierre ; Gao, Xuejie ; Gutowski, William J. ; Johns, Tim ; Krinner, Gerhard ; Shongwe, Mxolisi ; Tebaldi, Claudia ; Weaver, Andrew J ; Wehner, Michael F ; Allen, Myles R ; Andrews, Tim ; Beyerle, Urs ; Bitz, Cecilia M. ; Bony, Sandrine ; Booth, Ben B B. / Long-term Climate Change : Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility. Climate Change 2013 - The Physical Science Basis: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. editor / Thomas F. Stocker ; Dahe Qin ; Gian-Kasper Plattner ; Melinda M.B. Tignor ; Simon K. Allen ; Judith Boschung ; Alexander Nauels ; Yu Xia ; Vincent Bex ; Pauline M. Midgley. New York NY USA : Cambridge University Press, 2013. pp. 1029-1136 (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change).
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abstract = "This chapter assesses long-term projections of climate change for the end of the 21st century and beyond, where the forced signal depends on the scenario and is typically larger than the internal variability of the climate system. Changes are expressed with respect to a baseline period of 1986–2005, unless otherwise stated.",
author = "Matthew Collins and Reto Knutti and Julie Arblaster and Jean-Louis Dufresne and Thierry Fichefet and Pierre Friedlingstein and Xuejie Gao and Gutowski, {William J.} and Tim Johns and Gerhard Krinner and Mxolisi Shongwe and Claudia Tebaldi and Weaver, {Andrew J} and Wehner, {Michael F} and Allen, {Myles R} and Tim Andrews and Urs Beyerle and Bitz, {Cecilia M.} and Sandrine Bony and Booth, {Ben B B}",
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Collins, M, Knutti, R, Arblaster, J, Dufresne, J-L, Fichefet, T, Friedlingstein, P, Gao, X, Gutowski, WJ, Johns, T, Krinner, G, Shongwe, M, Tebaldi, C, Weaver, AJ, Wehner, MF, Allen, MR, Andrews, T, Beyerle, U, Bitz, CM, Bony, S & Booth, BBB 2013, Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility. in TF Stocker, D Qin, G-K Plattner, MMB Tignor, SK Allen, J Boschung, A Nauels, Y Xia, V Bex & PM Midgley (eds), Climate Change 2013 - The Physical Science Basis: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, New York NY USA, pp. 1029-1136.

Long-term Climate Change : Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility. / Collins, Matthew; Knutti, Reto; Arblaster, Julie; Dufresne, Jean-Louis ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Friedlingstein, Pierre; Gao, Xuejie ; Gutowski, William J. ; Johns, Tim ; Krinner, Gerhard ; Shongwe, Mxolisi ; Tebaldi, Claudia; Weaver, Andrew J; Wehner, Michael F; Allen, Myles R; Andrews, Tim ; Beyerle, Urs ; Bitz, Cecilia M.; Bony, Sandrine; Booth, Ben B B.

Climate Change 2013 - The Physical Science Basis: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. ed. / Thomas F. Stocker; Dahe Qin; Gian-Kasper Plattner; Melinda M.B. Tignor; Simon K. Allen; Judith Boschung; Alexander Nauels; Yu Xia; Vincent Bex; Pauline M. Midgley. New York NY USA : Cambridge University Press, 2013. p. 1029-1136 (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter (Report)Researchpeer-review

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AU - Knutti, Reto

AU - Arblaster, Julie

AU - Dufresne, Jean-Louis

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AU - Friedlingstein, Pierre

AU - Gao, Xuejie

AU - Gutowski, William J.

AU - Johns, Tim

AU - Krinner, Gerhard

AU - Shongwe, Mxolisi

AU - Tebaldi, Claudia

AU - Weaver, Andrew J

AU - Wehner, Michael F

AU - Allen, Myles R

AU - Andrews, Tim

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AU - Bony, Sandrine

AU - Booth, Ben B B

PY - 2013

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N2 - This chapter assesses long-term projections of climate change for the end of the 21st century and beyond, where the forced signal depends on the scenario and is typically larger than the internal variability of the climate system. Changes are expressed with respect to a baseline period of 1986–2005, unless otherwise stated.

AB - This chapter assesses long-term projections of climate change for the end of the 21st century and beyond, where the forced signal depends on the scenario and is typically larger than the internal variability of the climate system. Changes are expressed with respect to a baseline period of 1986–2005, unless otherwise stated.

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Collins M, Knutti R, Arblaster J, Dufresne J-L, Fichefet T, Friedlingstein P et al. Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility. In Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor MMB, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley PM, editors, Climate Change 2013 - The Physical Science Basis: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. New York NY USA: Cambridge University Press. 2013. p. 1029-1136. (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change).