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Lag effect of ambient temperature on respiratory emergency department visits in Beijing: a time series and pooled analysis

  • Xuan Li
  • , Yongming Zhang
  • , Zhenbiao Tian
  • , Jianping Wang
  • , Jinhua Zhao
  • , Yuanjun Lyu
  • , Ying Ni
  • , Yuming Guo
  • , Zhuang Cui
  • , Wenyi Zhang
  • , Changping Li

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Research › peer-review

Abstract

Background: Although the association between ambient temperature and mortality of respiratory diseases was numerously documented, the association between various ambient temperature levels and respiratory emergency department (ED) visits has not been well studied. A recent investigation of the association between respiratory ED visits and various levels of ambient temperature was conducted in Beijing, China. Methods: Daily meteorological data, air pollution data, and respiratory ED visits data from 2017 to 2018 were collected in Beijing. The relationship between ambient temperature and respiratory ED visits was explored using a distributed lagged nonlinear model (DLNM). Then we performed subgroup analysis based on age and gender. Finally, meta-analysis was utilized to aggregate the total influence of ambient temperature on respiratory ED visits across China. Results: The single-day lag risk for extreme cold peaked at a relative risk (RR) of 1.048 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.009, 1.088] at a lag of 21 days, with a long lag effect. As for the single-day lag risk for extreme hot, a short lag effect was shown at a lag of 7 days with an RR of 1.076 (95% CI: 1.038, 1.114). The cumulative lagged effects of both hot and cold effects peaked at lag 0–21 days, with a cumulative risk of the onset of 3.690 (95% CI: 2.133, 6.382) and 1.641 (95% CI: 1.284, 2.098), respectively, with stronger impact on the hot. Additionally, the elderly were more sensitive to ambient temperature. The males were more susceptible to hot weather than the females. A longer cold temperature lag effect was found in females. Compared with the meta-analysis, a pooled effect of ambient temperature was consistent in general. In the subgroup analysis, a significant difference was found by gender. Conclusions: Temperature level, age-specific, and gender-specific effects between ambient temperature and the number of ED visits provide information on early warning measures for the prevention and control of respiratory diseases.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1363
Number of pages15
JournalBMC Public Health
Volume24
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2024

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • Ambient temperature
  • Distributed lag non-linear model
  • Emergency department visits
  • Meta-analysis
  • Meteorological factors
  • Respiratory diseases

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