Informational content of options trading on acquirer announcement return

Konan Chan, Li Ge, Tse-Chun Lin

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

    22 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    This study examines the informational content of options trading on acquirer announcement returns. We show that implied volatility spread predicts positively on the cumulative abnormal return (CAR), and implied volatility skew predicts negatively on the CAR. The predictability is much stronger around actual merger and acquisition (M A) announcement days, as compared with pseudo-event days. The prediction is weaker if pre-M A stock price has incorporated part of the information, but stronger if the acquirer s options trading is more liquid. Finally, we find that a higher relative trading volume of options to stock predicts higher absolute CARs. The relation also exists among the target firms.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)1057 - 1082
    Number of pages26
    JournalJournal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis
    Volume50
    Issue number5
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2015

    Cite this

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    title = "Informational content of options trading on acquirer announcement return",
    abstract = "This study examines the informational content of options trading on acquirer announcement returns. We show that implied volatility spread predicts positively on the cumulative abnormal return (CAR), and implied volatility skew predicts negatively on the CAR. The predictability is much stronger around actual merger and acquisition (M A) announcement days, as compared with pseudo-event days. The prediction is weaker if pre-M A stock price has incorporated part of the information, but stronger if the acquirer s options trading is more liquid. Finally, we find that a higher relative trading volume of options to stock predicts higher absolute CARs. The relation also exists among the target firms.",
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    Informational content of options trading on acquirer announcement return. / Chan, Konan; Ge, Li; Lin, Tse-Chun.

    In: Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 50, No. 5, 2015, p. 1057 - 1082.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

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    AU - Lin, Tse-Chun

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    N2 - This study examines the informational content of options trading on acquirer announcement returns. We show that implied volatility spread predicts positively on the cumulative abnormal return (CAR), and implied volatility skew predicts negatively on the CAR. The predictability is much stronger around actual merger and acquisition (M A) announcement days, as compared with pseudo-event days. The prediction is weaker if pre-M A stock price has incorporated part of the information, but stronger if the acquirer s options trading is more liquid. Finally, we find that a higher relative trading volume of options to stock predicts higher absolute CARs. The relation also exists among the target firms.

    AB - This study examines the informational content of options trading on acquirer announcement returns. We show that implied volatility spread predicts positively on the cumulative abnormal return (CAR), and implied volatility skew predicts negatively on the CAR. The predictability is much stronger around actual merger and acquisition (M A) announcement days, as compared with pseudo-event days. The prediction is weaker if pre-M A stock price has incorporated part of the information, but stronger if the acquirer s options trading is more liquid. Finally, we find that a higher relative trading volume of options to stock predicts higher absolute CARs. The relation also exists among the target firms.

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    DO - 10.1017/S0022109015000484

    M3 - Article

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    JO - Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis

    JF - Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis

    SN - 0022-1090

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