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Identifying marginal treatment effects in the presence of sample selection

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Abstract

This article presents identification results for the marginal treatment effect (MTE) when there is sample selection. We show that the MTE is partially identified for individuals who are always observed regardless of treatment, and derive uniformly sharp bounds on this parameter under three increasingly restrictive sets of assumptions. The first result imposes standard MTE assumptions with an unrestricted sample selection mechanism. The second set of conditions imposes monotonicity of the sample selection variable with respect to treatment, considerably shrinking the identified set. Finally, we incorporate a stochastic dominance assumption which tightens the lower bound for the MTE. Our analysis extends to discrete instruments. The results rely on a mixture reformulation of the problem where the mixture weights are identified, extending Lee's (2009) trimming procedure to the MTE context. We propose estimators for the bounds derived and use data made available by Deb et al. (2006) to empirically illustrate the usefulness of our approach.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)565-584
Number of pages20
JournalJournal of Econometrics
Volume234
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2023
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Instrumental variable
  • Marginal treatment effect
  • Partial identification
  • Program evaluation
  • Sample selection

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