How do shocks to domestic factors affect real exchange rates of Asian developing countries?

Taya Dumrongrittikul, Heather Margot Anderson

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Abstract

This paper examines real exchange rate responses to shocks in exchange rate determinants for fourteen Asian developing countries. The analysis is based on a panel structural vector error correction model, and the shocks are identified using sign and zero restrictions. We find that trade liberalization generates permanent depreciation, and higher government consumption causes persistent appreciation. Traded-sector productivity gains induce appreciation but their effects are not immediate and last only for a few years. Real exchange rate responses to unexpected monetary tightening are consistent with the long-run neutrality of money. The evidence suggests that trade liberalization and government consumption have a strong effect on real exchange rates, while the effects of traded-sector productivity shocks are much weaker.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)67 - 85
Number of pages19
JournalJournal of Development Economics
Volume119
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2016

Cite this

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title = "How do shocks to domestic factors affect real exchange rates of Asian developing countries?",
abstract = "This paper examines real exchange rate responses to shocks in exchange rate determinants for fourteen Asian developing countries. The analysis is based on a panel structural vector error correction model, and the shocks are identified using sign and zero restrictions. We find that trade liberalization generates permanent depreciation, and higher government consumption causes persistent appreciation. Traded-sector productivity gains induce appreciation but their effects are not immediate and last only for a few years. Real exchange rate responses to unexpected monetary tightening are consistent with the long-run neutrality of money. The evidence suggests that trade liberalization and government consumption have a strong effect on real exchange rates, while the effects of traded-sector productivity shocks are much weaker.",
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How do shocks to domestic factors affect real exchange rates of Asian developing countries? / Dumrongrittikul, Taya; Anderson, Heather Margot.

In: Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 119, 2016, p. 67 - 85.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

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AB - This paper examines real exchange rate responses to shocks in exchange rate determinants for fourteen Asian developing countries. The analysis is based on a panel structural vector error correction model, and the shocks are identified using sign and zero restrictions. We find that trade liberalization generates permanent depreciation, and higher government consumption causes persistent appreciation. Traded-sector productivity gains induce appreciation but their effects are not immediate and last only for a few years. Real exchange rate responses to unexpected monetary tightening are consistent with the long-run neutrality of money. The evidence suggests that trade liberalization and government consumption have a strong effect on real exchange rates, while the effects of traded-sector productivity shocks are much weaker.

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DO - 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2015.10.004

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JF - Journal of Development Economics

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