Forecast of category 1 & 2 Emergency Department respiratory presentations in an Australian metropolitan Emergency Department

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The CoVID19 Preparedness Project has uncovered a worrying trend in high acuity respiratory presentations. Forecasted peak demand using the Exponential Smoothing Model will be in August 2020, where we will see 286% [95% CI 79.8-394.0] more category 1 and 2 respiratory resuscitations than five years ago. The peak has not even started.
Original languageEnglish
Media of outputOnline
Publication statusPublished - 28 Mar 2020


  • Emergency Medicine
  • Time Series Forecasting
  • Respiratory Disease

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