Equity analysts' recommendation revisions and corporate bond price reactions

Xiaoting Wei, Viet Do

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Abstract

This paper analyzes bond price reactions to examine the information spillover from equity analysts' recommendation revisions into the bond market. We document a positive relation between bond price reactions and recommendation revisions. On average, bond prices react positively to recommendation upgrades and negatively to recommendation downgrades. The strongest reactions are observed among speculative-grade bonds. While, on average, bond price movements are in the same direction as analysts' recommendation revisions, these revisions can also lead to bond price reactions in the opposite direction to share price reactions. We find evidence of negative bond return reactions relative to share price reactions among firms that are closer to distress, especially when they have high levels of institutional ownership or discretionary accruals. The negative relative price reaction between shares and bonds indicates that equity analyst recommendations sometimes carry security-specific information.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)669-687
Number of pages19
JournalInternational Review of Finance
Volume22
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2022

Keywords

  • analyst recommendation revision
  • corporate bond
  • security-specific information

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