Did Rabuka's Military coups have a permanent effect or a transitory effect on tourist expenditure in Fiji: evidence from Vogelsang's structural break test

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Abstract

The central aim of this paper is to investigate whether the military coups instigated by Major General Sitiveni Rabuka in 1987 had a permanent effect or a transitory effect on tourist expenditures in Fiji. To accomplish this aim we use the Vogelsang (Econ. Theory 13 (1997) 818) test for one break in linear trending data. The Vogelsang test reveals 1988 as the year of the break and based on a suite of test statistics recommended by Vogelsang we reject the unit root null leading to the conclusion that Rabuka's coups had a transitory effect on tourist expenditure in Fiji.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)509-515
Number of pages7
JournalTourism Management
Volume26
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2005
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Fiji
  • Military coups
  • Unit root

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