Cyclone damage assessment considering non-stationarity in cyclone actions

Cao Wang, Hao Zhang, Quanwang Li

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference PaperOther


The intensity and/or frequency of cyclone storms may change due to the impact of potential climate change. This paper presents a probabilistic framework to assess the cyclone damage to residential constructions considering the non-stationarity in cyclone actions. The framework includes a non-stationary Poisson process of cyclone occurrence, a failure rate function of cyclone damage, and explicit formulas for evaluating the mean and variance of annual cyclone damage. The framework is illustrated using a case study of Miami-Dade County, Florida, where the current probabilistic models of cyclone intensity and occurrence rate were estimated by examining cyclone history in that area. The impacts of time-variant cyclone intensity and time-variant cyclone frequency on building damage are assessed using the developed framework.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationMechanics of Structures and Materials
Subtitle of host publicationAdvancements and Challenges - Proceedings of the 24th Australasian Conference on the Mechanics of Structures and Materials, ACMSM24 2016
EditorsHong Hao, Chunwei Zhang
PublisherCRC Press
Number of pages6
ISBN (Print)9781138029934
Publication statusPublished - 2017
Externally publishedYes
EventAustralasian Conference on the Mechanics of Structures and Materials 2016 - Perth, Australia
Duration: 6 Dec 20169 Dec 2016
Conference number: 24th


ConferenceAustralasian Conference on the Mechanics of Structures and Materials 2016
Abbreviated titleACMSM 2016

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