Abstract
The intensity and/or frequency of cyclone storms may change due to the impact of potential climate change. This paper presents a probabilistic framework to assess the cyclone damage to residential constructions considering the non-stationarity in cyclone actions. The framework includes a non-stationary Poisson process of cyclone occurrence, a failure rate function of cyclone damage, and explicit formulas for evaluating the mean and variance of annual cyclone damage. The framework is illustrated using a case study of Miami-Dade County, Florida, where the current probabilistic models of cyclone intensity and occurrence rate were estimated by examining cyclone history in that area. The impacts of time-variant cyclone intensity and time-variant cyclone frequency on building damage are assessed using the developed framework.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | Mechanics of Structures and Materials |
| Subtitle of host publication | Advancements and Challenges - Proceedings of the 24th Australasian Conference on the Mechanics of Structures and Materials, ACMSM24 2016 |
| Editors | Hong Hao, Chunwei Zhang |
| Publisher | CRC Press |
| Pages | 1917-1922 |
| Number of pages | 6 |
| ISBN (Print) | 9781138029934 |
| Publication status | Published - 2017 |
| Externally published | Yes |
| Event | Australasian Conference on the Mechanics of Structures and Materials 2016 - Perth, Australia Duration: 6 Dec 2016 → 9 Dec 2016 Conference number: 24th |
Conference
| Conference | Australasian Conference on the Mechanics of Structures and Materials 2016 |
|---|---|
| Abbreviated title | ACMSM 2016 |
| Country/Territory | Australia |
| City | Perth |
| Period | 6/12/16 → 9/12/16 |
