Cryptocurrency analysis: Price prediction of cryptocurrency using user sentiments and quantitative data

Dayan Perera, Jessica Lim, Shuta Gunraku, Wern Han Lim

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference PaperResearchpeer-review

Abstract

This research introduces an innovative approach to forecasting cryptocurrency prices by combining user-generated content (UGC) and sentiment analysis with quantitative data. The primary goal is to overcome limitations in existing methods for market forecasting, where accurate forecasting is crucial for informed decision-making and risk mitigation. The paper suggests a robust prediction methodology by integrating sentiment analysis and quantitative data. The study reviews prior research on sentiment analysis and quantitative analysis of cryptocurrency and stock price prediction. It explores the integration of machine learning and deep learning techniques, an area not extensively explored before. The methodology employs Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Bidirectional LSTM and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) models to capture temporal dependencies. Prediction accuracy is assessed using metrics including Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and a confusion matrix. Results show that GRU models excel in prediction, while RNN models outperform in predicting price movements; with an emphasis on the significance of a suitable data preprocessing pipeline towards improving model performance. In summary, this study demonstrates the effectiveness of integrating sentiment analysis and quantitative data for cryptocurrency price forecasting using UGC data.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 16th International Conference on Agents and Artificial Intelligence - (Volume 3)
EditorsAna Paula Rocha, Luc Steels, Jaap van den Herik
Place of PublicationSetubal Portugal
PublisherScitepress
Pages210-217
Number of pages8
ISBN (Electronic)9789897586804
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2024
EventInternational Conference on Agents and Artificial Intelligence 2024 - Rome, Italy
Duration: 24 Feb 202426 Feb 2024
Conference number: 16th
https://www.scitepress.org/ProceedingsDetails.aspx?ID=7POrHKUPtlI=&t=1 (Proceedings)
https://icaart.scitevents.org/?y=2024 (Website)

Publication series

NameInternational Conference on Agents and Artificial Intelligence
PublisherScitepress
Volume3
ISSN (Print)2184-3589

Conference

ConferenceInternational Conference on Agents and Artificial Intelligence 2024
Abbreviated titleICAART 2024
Country/TerritoryItaly
CityRome
Period24/02/2426/02/24
Internet address

Keywords

  • Bidirectional-LSTM
  • Cryptocurrency
  • Deep Learning
  • Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU)
  • Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)
  • Price Prediction
  • Recurrent Neural Network (RNN)
  • User-Generated Content (UGC)

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