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Cluster-randomized test-negative design trials: A novel and efficient method to assess the efficacy of community-level dengue interventions

  • Katherine L. Anders
  • , Zoe Cutcher
  • , Immo Kleinschmidt
  • , Christl A. Donnelly
  • , Neil M. Ferguson
  • , Citra Indriani
  • , Peter A. Ryan
  • , Scott L. O'Neill
  • , Nicholas P. Jewell
  • , Cameron P. Simmons

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

    Abstract

    Cluster-randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for assessing efficacy of community-level interventions, such as vector-control strategies against dengue. We describe a novel cluster-randomized trial methodology with a test-negative design (CR-TND), which offers advantages over traditional approaches. This method uses outcome-based sampling of patients presenting with a syndrome consistent with the disease of interest,who are subsequently classified as test-positive cases or test-negative controls on the basis of diagnostic testing.We used simulations of a cluster trial to demonstrate validity of efficacy estimates under the test-negative approach. We demonstrated that, provided study arms are balanced for both test-negative and test-positive illness at baseline and that other test-negative design assumptions are met, the efficacy estimates closely match true efficacy. Analytical considerations for an odds ratio-based effect estimate arising from clustered data and potential approaches to analysis are also discussed briefly. We concluded that application of the test-negative design to certain clusterrandomized trials could increase their efficiency and ease of implementation.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)2021-2028
    Number of pages8
    JournalAmerican Journal of Epidemiology
    Volume187
    Issue number9
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2018

    UN SDGs

    This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

    1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
      SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

    Keywords

    • Case-control
    • Cluster-randomized trial
    • Dengue
    • Efficacy
    • Odds ratio
    • Study design
    • Test-negative design
    • Wolbachia

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