Choosing the future of Antarctica

S. R. Rintoul, S. L. Chown, R. M. DeConto, M. H. England, H. A. Fricker, V. Masson-Delmotte, T. R. Naish, M. J. Siegert, J. C. Xavier

Research output: Contribution to journalReview ArticleResearchpeer-review

Abstract

We present two narratives on the future of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, from the perspective of an observer looking back from 2070. In the first scenario, greenhouse gas emissions remained unchecked, the climate continued to warm, and the policy response was ineffective; this had large ramifications in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, with worldwide impacts. In the second scenario, ambitious action was taken to limit greenhouse gas emissions and to establish policies that reduced anthropogenic pressure on the environment, slowing the rate of change in Antarctica. Choices made in the next decade will determine what trajectory is realized.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)233-241
Number of pages9
JournalNature
Volume558
Issue number7709
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 14 Jun 2018

Cite this

Rintoul, S. R., Chown, S. L., DeConto, R. M., England, M. H., Fricker, H. A., Masson-Delmotte, V., ... Xavier, J. C. (2018). Choosing the future of Antarctica. Nature, 558(7709), 233-241. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0173-4
Rintoul, S. R. ; Chown, S. L. ; DeConto, R. M. ; England, M. H. ; Fricker, H. A. ; Masson-Delmotte, V. ; Naish, T. R. ; Siegert, M. J. ; Xavier, J. C. / Choosing the future of Antarctica. In: Nature. 2018 ; Vol. 558, No. 7709. pp. 233-241.
@article{2ef841ae74a04d53950130591013f857,
title = "Choosing the future of Antarctica",
abstract = "We present two narratives on the future of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, from the perspective of an observer looking back from 2070. In the first scenario, greenhouse gas emissions remained unchecked, the climate continued to warm, and the policy response was ineffective; this had large ramifications in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, with worldwide impacts. In the second scenario, ambitious action was taken to limit greenhouse gas emissions and to establish policies that reduced anthropogenic pressure on the environment, slowing the rate of change in Antarctica. Choices made in the next decade will determine what trajectory is realized.",
author = "Rintoul, {S. R.} and Chown, {S. L.} and DeConto, {R. M.} and England, {M. H.} and Fricker, {H. A.} and V. Masson-Delmotte and Naish, {T. R.} and Siegert, {M. J.} and Xavier, {J. C.}",
year = "2018",
month = "6",
day = "14",
doi = "10.1038/s41586-018-0173-4",
language = "English",
volume = "558",
pages = "233--241",
journal = "Nature",
issn = "0028-0836",
publisher = "Nature Publishing Group",
number = "7709",

}

Rintoul, SR, Chown, SL, DeConto, RM, England, MH, Fricker, HA, Masson-Delmotte, V, Naish, TR, Siegert, MJ & Xavier, JC 2018, 'Choosing the future of Antarctica', Nature, vol. 558, no. 7709, pp. 233-241. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0173-4

Choosing the future of Antarctica. / Rintoul, S. R.; Chown, S. L.; DeConto, R. M.; England, M. H.; Fricker, H. A.; Masson-Delmotte, V.; Naish, T. R.; Siegert, M. J.; Xavier, J. C.

In: Nature, Vol. 558, No. 7709, 14.06.2018, p. 233-241.

Research output: Contribution to journalReview ArticleResearchpeer-review

TY - JOUR

T1 - Choosing the future of Antarctica

AU - Rintoul, S. R.

AU - Chown, S. L.

AU - DeConto, R. M.

AU - England, M. H.

AU - Fricker, H. A.

AU - Masson-Delmotte, V.

AU - Naish, T. R.

AU - Siegert, M. J.

AU - Xavier, J. C.

PY - 2018/6/14

Y1 - 2018/6/14

N2 - We present two narratives on the future of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, from the perspective of an observer looking back from 2070. In the first scenario, greenhouse gas emissions remained unchecked, the climate continued to warm, and the policy response was ineffective; this had large ramifications in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, with worldwide impacts. In the second scenario, ambitious action was taken to limit greenhouse gas emissions and to establish policies that reduced anthropogenic pressure on the environment, slowing the rate of change in Antarctica. Choices made in the next decade will determine what trajectory is realized.

AB - We present two narratives on the future of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, from the perspective of an observer looking back from 2070. In the first scenario, greenhouse gas emissions remained unchecked, the climate continued to warm, and the policy response was ineffective; this had large ramifications in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, with worldwide impacts. In the second scenario, ambitious action was taken to limit greenhouse gas emissions and to establish policies that reduced anthropogenic pressure on the environment, slowing the rate of change in Antarctica. Choices made in the next decade will determine what trajectory is realized.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85048523378&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1038/s41586-018-0173-4

DO - 10.1038/s41586-018-0173-4

M3 - Review Article

VL - 558

SP - 233

EP - 241

JO - Nature

JF - Nature

SN - 0028-0836

IS - 7709

ER -

Rintoul SR, Chown SL, DeConto RM, England MH, Fricker HA, Masson-Delmotte V et al. Choosing the future of Antarctica. Nature. 2018 Jun 14;558(7709):233-241. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0173-4