Choosing the future of Antarctica

S. R. Rintoul, S. L. Chown, R. M. DeConto, M. H. England, H. A. Fricker, V. Masson-Delmotte, T. R. Naish, M. J. Siegert, J. C. Xavier

Research output: Contribution to journalReview ArticleResearchpeer-review

72 Citations (Scopus)


We present two narratives on the future of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, from the perspective of an observer looking back from 2070. In the first scenario, greenhouse gas emissions remained unchecked, the climate continued to warm, and the policy response was ineffective; this had large ramifications in Antarctica and the Southern Ocean, with worldwide impacts. In the second scenario, ambitious action was taken to limit greenhouse gas emissions and to establish policies that reduced anthropogenic pressure on the environment, slowing the rate of change in Antarctica. Choices made in the next decade will determine what trajectory is realized.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)233-241
Number of pages9
Issue number7709
Publication statusPublished - 14 Jun 2018

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