Are oil shocks permanent or temporary? Panel data evidence from crude oil and NGL production in 60 countries

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Abstract

This paper examines the unit root properties of crude oil production for 60 countries employing a range of panel data unit root tests for the period 1971 to 2003. The study first employs a number of panel data tests that do not accommodate structural breaks and then proceeds to apply the Lagrange Multiplier (LM) panel unit root test with one structural break. The results of the panel data tests without a structural break are inconclusive with at best mixed support for joint stationarity. The findings from the LM panel unit root test with a structural break, however, are conclusive, suggesting that for a world panel and smaller regional-based panels, crude oil and NGL production are jointly stationary.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)919-936
Number of pages18
JournalEnergy Economics
Volume30
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2008

Keywords

  • Crude oil
  • Panel unit root

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