Abstract
Factor-based forecasting has been at the forefront of developments in the macroeconometric forecasting literature in the recent past. Despite the flurry of activity in the area, a number of specification issues such as the choice of the number of factors in the forecasting regression, the benefits of combining factor-based forecasts and the choice of the dataset from which to extract the factors remain partly unaddressed. This paper provides a comprehensive empirical investigation of these issues using data for the euro area, the six largest euro area countries, and the UK.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 736-752 |
Number of pages | 17 |
Journal | Journal of Forecasting |
Volume | 30 |
Issue number | 8 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Dec 2011 |
Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- factors
- forecast combinations
- large datasets