Applying a New Ensemble Approach to Estimating Stock Status of Marine Fisheries around the World

Andrew A. Rosenberg, Kristin M. Kleisner, Jamie Afflerbach, Sean C. Anderson, Mark Dickey-Collas, Andrew B. Cooper, Michael J. Fogarty, Elizabeth A. Fulton, Nicolás L. Gutiérrez, Kimberly J.W. Hyde, Ernesto Jardim, Olaf P. Jensen, Trond Kristiansen, Catherine Longo, Carolina V. Minte-Vera, Cóilín Minto, Iago Mosqueira, Giacomo Chato Osio, Daniel Ovando, Elizabeth R. SeligJames T. Thorson, Jessica C. Walsh, Yimin Ye

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

43 Citations (Scopus)


The exploitation status of marine fisheries stocks worldwide is of critical importance for food security, ecosystem conservation, and fishery sustainability. Applying a suite of data-limited methods to global catch data, combined through an ensemble modeling approach, we provide quantitative estimates of exploitation status for 785 fish stocks. Fifty-three percent (414 stocks) are below BMSY and of these, 265 are estimated to be below 80% of the BMSY level. While the 149 stocks above 80% of BMSY are conventionally considered “fully exploited,” stocks staying at this level for many years, forego substantial yield. Our results enable managers to consider more detailed information than simply a categorization of stocks as “fully” or “over” exploited. Our approach is reproducible, allows consistent application to a broad range of stocks, and can be easily updated as new data become available. Applied on an ongoing basis, this approach can provide critical, more detailed information for resource management for more exploited fish stocks than currently available.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere12363
JournalConservation Letters
Issue number1
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2018
Externally publishedYes


  • ecosystem sustainability
  • Fisheries exploitation status
  • food security
  • global fisheries

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