Anticoagulation Strategies in Non–Critically Ill Patients with Covid-19

Zoe K. McQuilten, Balasubramanian Venkatesh, Vivekanand Jha, Jason Roberts, Susan Claire Morpeth, James Totterdel, Grace M. McPhee, John Abraham, Niraj Bam, Methma Bandara, Ashpak K. Bangi, Lauren A. Barina, Bhupendra K. Basnet, Hasan Bhally, Khema R. Bhusal, Jillian S.Y Lau, Sanjeev Daya Chunilal, Michelle L. Giles, Jillian S.Y Lau, Sharon LewinLyn-Li Lim, James H. McMahon, Robert Medcalf, Benjamin A. Rogers, Huyen Anh M. Tran, James D. McFadyen

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Abstract

BACKGROUND
Optimal thromboprophylaxis for hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) is uncertain.

METHODS
In an open-label, adaptive platform trial, we randomly assigned hospitalized adults with Covid-19 to low-dose low-molecular-weight heparin thromboprophylaxis or intermediate-dose or low-dose plus aspirin. In response to external evidence, the aspirin intervention was discontinued and a therapeutic-dose arm added. The primary end point was death or the requirement for new organ support by day 28, analyzed with a Bayesian logistic model. Enrolment was closed as a result of operational constraints.

RESULTS
Between February 2021 and March 2022, 1574 patients were randomly assigned. Among 1526 participants included in the analysis (India, n=1273; Australia and New Zealand, n=138; and Nepal, n=115), the primary outcome occurred in 35 (5.9%) of 596 in low-dose, 25 (4.2%) of 601 in intermediate-dose, 20 (7.2%) of 279 in low-dose plus aspirin, and 7 (14%) of 50 in therapeutic-dose anticoagulation. Compared with low-dose thromboprophylaxis, the median adjusted odds ratio for the primary outcome for intermediate-dose was 0.74 (95% credible interval [CrI], 0.43 to 1.27; posterior probability of effectiveness [adjusted odds ratio<1; Pr], 86%), for low-dose plus aspirin 0.88 (95% CrI, 0.47 to 1.64; Pr, 65%), and for therapeutic-dose anticoagulation 2.22 (95% CrI, 0.77 to 6.20; Pr, 7%). Overall thrombotic and bleeding rates were 0.8% and 0.4%, respectively. There were 10 serious adverse reactions related to anticoagulation strategy, of which nine were grade 1 or 2 across study interventions and one grade 4 episode of retroperitoneal hematoma in a patient receiving intermediate-dose anticoagulation.

CONCLUSIONS
In hospitalized non–critically ill adults with Covid-19, compared with low-dose, there was an 86% posterior probability that intermediate-dose, 65% posterior probability that low-dose plus aspirin, and a 7% posterior probability that therapeutic-dose anticoagulation reduced the odds of death or requirement for organ support. No treatment strategy met prespecified stopping criteria before trial closure, precluding definitive conclusions. (Funded by Australian National Health and Medical Research Council or Medical Research Future Fund Investigator and Practitioner Grants and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04483960.)
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages14
JournalNEJM Evidence
Volume2
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2022

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