Antagonism between ambient ozone increase and urbanization-oriented population migration on Chinese cardiopulmonary mortality

Haitong Zhe Sun; Junchao Zhao; Xiang Liu; Minghao Qiu; Huizhong Shen; Serge Guillas; Chiara Giorio; Zosia Staniaszek; Pei Yu; Michelle W.L. Wan; Man Mei Chim; Kim Robin van Daalen; Yilin Li; Zhenze Liu; Mingtao Xia; Shengxian Ke; Haifan Zhao; Haikun Wang; Kebin He; Huan Liu; Yuming Guo; Alexander T. Archibald

doi:10.1016/j.xinn.2023.100517

Antagonism between ambient ozone increase and urbanization-oriented population migration on Chinese cardiopulmonary mortality

Haitong Zhe Sun, Junchao Zhao, Xiang Liu, Minghao Qiu, Huizhong Shen, Serge Guillas, Chiara Giorio, Zosia Staniaszek, Pei Yu, Michelle W.L. Wan, Man Mei Chim, Kim Robin van Daalen, Yilin Li, Zhenze Liu, Mingtao Xia, Shengxian Ke, Haifan Zhao, Haikun Wang, Kebin He, Huan LiuYuming Guo (Leading Author), Alexander T. Archibald

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Research › peer-review

24 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Ever-increasing ambient ozone (O₃) pollution in China has been exacerbating cardiopulmonary premature deaths. However, the urban-rural exposure inequity has seldom been explored. Here, we assess population-scale O₃ exposure and mortality burdens between 1990 and 2019 based on integrated pollution tracking and epidemiological evidence. We find Chinese population have been suffering from climbing O₃ exposure by 4.3 ± 2.8 ppb per decade as a result of rapid urbanization and growing prosperity of socioeconomic activities. Rural residents are broadly exposed to 9.8 ± 4.1 ppb higher ambient O₃ than the adjacent urban citizens, and thus urbanization-oriented migration compromises the exposure-associated mortality on total population. Cardiopulmonary excess premature deaths attributable to long-term O₃ exposure, 373,500 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 240,600–510,900) in 2019, is underestimated in previous studies due to ignorance of cardiovascular causes. Future O₃ pollution policy should focus more on rural population who are facing an aggravating threat of mortality risks to ameliorate environmental health injustice.

Original language	English
Article number	100517
Number of pages	10
Journal	The Innovation
Volume	4
Issue number	6
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xinn.2023.100517
Publication status	Published - 13 Nov 2023

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Sun, H. Z., Zhao, J., Liu, X., Qiu, M., Shen, H., Guillas, S., Giorio, C., Staniaszek, Z., Yu, P., Wan, M. W. L., Chim, M. M., van Daalen, K. R., Li, Y., Liu, Z., Xia, M., Ke, S., Zhao, H., Wang, H., He, K., ... Archibald, A. T. (2023). Antagonism between ambient ozone increase and urbanization-oriented population migration on Chinese cardiopulmonary mortality. The Innovation, 4(6), Article 100517. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xinn.2023.100517

@article{36e88fd7046e45b085349d69fadab982,

title = "Antagonism between ambient ozone increase and urbanization-oriented population migration on Chinese cardiopulmonary mortality",

abstract = "Ever-increasing ambient ozone (O3) pollution in China has been exacerbating cardiopulmonary premature deaths. However, the urban-rural exposure inequity has seldom been explored. Here, we assess population-scale O3 exposure and mortality burdens between 1990 and 2019 based on integrated pollution tracking and epidemiological evidence. We find Chinese population have been suffering from climbing O3 exposure by 4.3 ± 2.8 ppb per decade as a result of rapid urbanization and growing prosperity of socioeconomic activities. Rural residents are broadly exposed to 9.8 ± 4.1 ppb higher ambient O3 than the adjacent urban citizens, and thus urbanization-oriented migration compromises the exposure-associated mortality on total population. Cardiopulmonary excess premature deaths attributable to long-term O3 exposure, 373,500 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 240,600–510,900) in 2019, is underestimated in previous studies due to ignorance of cardiovascular causes. Future O3 pollution policy should focus more on rural population who are facing an aggravating threat of mortality risks to ameliorate environmental health injustice.",

author = "Sun, {Haitong Zhe} and Junchao Zhao and Xiang Liu and Minghao Qiu and Huizhong Shen and Serge Guillas and Chiara Giorio and Zosia Staniaszek and Pei Yu and Wan, {Michelle W.L.} and Chim, {Man Mei} and {van Daalen}, {Kim Robin} and Yilin Li and Zhenze Liu and Mingtao Xia and Shengxian Ke and Haifan Zhao and Haikun Wang and Kebin He and Huan Liu and Yuming Guo and Archibald, {Alexander T.}",

note = "Funding Information: This study is funded by the UK Natural Environment Research Council (NERC), UK National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), Australian Research Council ( DP210102076 ) and Australian National Health and Medical Research Council ( APP2000581 ). H.Z.S. and M.W. receive funding from the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) via the UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) Centre for Doctoral Training in Application of Artificial Intelligence to the study of Environmental Risks (AI4ER, EP/S022961/1 ). H.Z.S. also gives thanks for generous support from the US Fulbright Program. P.Y. is supported by China Scholarship Council (no. 201906210065 ). Z.S. acknowledges support from the UKRI NERC Cambridge Climate, Life and Earth Doctoral Training Partnership (C-CLEAR DTP, NE/S007164/1 ). M.M.C. is sponsored by the Croucher Foundation and Cambridge Commonwealth , European and International Trust funding through a Croucher Cambridge International Scholarship . H.L. is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (no. 42061130213 ) and the Royal Society of the United Kingdom through the Newton Advanced Fellowship ( NAF/R1/201166 ). A.T.A. acknowledges funding from NERC ( NE/P016383/1 ) and through the Met Office UKRI Clean Air Program. Y.G. is supported by a Career Development Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council ( APP1163693 ). Special appreciation is extended to Prof. Xiao Lu (School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University) for his insightful discussion on the quality control of TOAR and CNEMC observations, and Prof. Aiyu Liu (Department of Sociology, Peking University) for her trenchant research perspectives on China{\textquoteright}s urbanization, to improve this current interdisciplinary research. Funding Information: This study is funded by the UK Natural Environment Research Council (NERC), UK National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), Australian Research Council (DP210102076) and Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP2000581). H.Z.S. and M.W. receive funding from the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) via the UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) Centre for Doctoral Training in Application of Artificial Intelligence to the study of Environmental Risks (AI4ER, EP/S022961/1). H.Z.S. also gives thanks for generous support from the US Fulbright Program. P.Y. is supported by China Scholarship Council (no. 201906210065). Z.S. acknowledges support from the UKRI NERC Cambridge Climate, Life and Earth Doctoral Training Partnership (C-CLEAR DTP, NE/S007164/1). M.M.C. is sponsored by the Croucher Foundation and Cambridge Commonwealth, European and International Trust funding through a Croucher Cambridge International Scholarship. H.L. is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (no. 42061130213) and the Royal Society of the United Kingdom through the Newton Advanced Fellowship (NAF/R1/201166). A.T.A. acknowledges funding from NERC (NE/P016383/1) and through the Met Office UKRI Clean Air Program. Y.G. is supported by a Career Development Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1163693). Special appreciation is extended to Prof. Xiao Lu (School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University) for his insightful discussion on the quality control of TOAR and CNEMC observations, and Prof. Aiyu Liu (Department of Sociology, Peking University) for her trenchant research perspectives on China's urbanization, to improve this current interdisciplinary research. H.Z.S. A.T.A. and Y.G. conceived and designed the study. H.Z.S. performed analyses with data inputs from A.T.A. Z.L. H.Z. S.K. K.H. and H.L. cross-validated by X.L. H.W. P.Y. S.G. C.G. and M.X. A.T.A. Y.G. and H.S. led in-depth discussions from perspectives of atmospheric modeling, public health, and China studies, respectively. Z.S. M.Q. M.W.L.W. M.M.C. S.G. C.G. K.R.v.D. H.Z. and Y.L. enriched the discussion and examined the language. H.Z.S. and J.Z. wrote the manuscript with comprehensive supports from all authors. The authors declare no competing interests. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2023 The Author(s)",

year = "2023",

month = nov,

day = "13",

doi = "10.1016/j.xinn.2023.100517",

language = "English",

volume = "4",

journal = "The Innovation",

issn = "2666-6758",

publisher = "Cell Press",

number = "6",

}

Sun, HZ, Zhao, J, Liu, X, Qiu, M, Shen, H, Guillas, S, Giorio, C, Staniaszek, Z, Yu, P, Wan, MWL, Chim, MM, van Daalen, KR, Li, Y, Liu, Z, Xia, M, Ke, S, Zhao, H, Wang, H, He, K, Liu, H, Guo, Y & Archibald, AT 2023, 'Antagonism between ambient ozone increase and urbanization-oriented population migration on Chinese cardiopulmonary mortality', The Innovation, vol. 4, no. 6, 100517. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xinn.2023.100517

TY - JOUR

T1 - Antagonism between ambient ozone increase and urbanization-oriented population migration on Chinese cardiopulmonary mortality

AU - Sun, Haitong Zhe

AU - Zhao, Junchao

AU - Liu, Xiang

AU - Qiu, Minghao

AU - Shen, Huizhong

AU - Guillas, Serge

AU - Giorio, Chiara

AU - Staniaszek, Zosia

AU - Yu, Pei

AU - Wan, Michelle W.L.

AU - Chim, Man Mei

AU - van Daalen, Kim Robin

AU - Li, Yilin

AU - Liu, Zhenze

AU - Xia, Mingtao

AU - Ke, Shengxian

AU - Zhao, Haifan

AU - Wang, Haikun

AU - He, Kebin

AU - Liu, Huan

AU - Archibald, Alexander T.

A2 - Guo, Yuming

N1 - Funding Information: This study is funded by the UK Natural Environment Research Council (NERC), UK National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), Australian Research Council ( DP210102076 ) and Australian National Health and Medical Research Council ( APP2000581 ). H.Z.S. and M.W. receive funding from the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) via the UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) Centre for Doctoral Training in Application of Artificial Intelligence to the study of Environmental Risks (AI4ER, EP/S022961/1 ). H.Z.S. also gives thanks for generous support from the US Fulbright Program. P.Y. is supported by China Scholarship Council (no. 201906210065 ). Z.S. acknowledges support from the UKRI NERC Cambridge Climate, Life and Earth Doctoral Training Partnership (C-CLEAR DTP, NE/S007164/1 ). M.M.C. is sponsored by the Croucher Foundation and Cambridge Commonwealth , European and International Trust funding through a Croucher Cambridge International Scholarship . H.L. is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (no. 42061130213 ) and the Royal Society of the United Kingdom through the Newton Advanced Fellowship ( NAF/R1/201166 ). A.T.A. acknowledges funding from NERC ( NE/P016383/1 ) and through the Met Office UKRI Clean Air Program. Y.G. is supported by a Career Development Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council ( APP1163693 ). Special appreciation is extended to Prof. Xiao Lu (School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University) for his insightful discussion on the quality control of TOAR and CNEMC observations, and Prof. Aiyu Liu (Department of Sociology, Peking University) for her trenchant research perspectives on China’s urbanization, to improve this current interdisciplinary research. Funding Information: This study is funded by the UK Natural Environment Research Council (NERC), UK National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), Australian Research Council (DP210102076) and Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP2000581). H.Z.S. and M.W. receive funding from the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) via the UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) Centre for Doctoral Training in Application of Artificial Intelligence to the study of Environmental Risks (AI4ER, EP/S022961/1). H.Z.S. also gives thanks for generous support from the US Fulbright Program. P.Y. is supported by China Scholarship Council (no. 201906210065). Z.S. acknowledges support from the UKRI NERC Cambridge Climate, Life and Earth Doctoral Training Partnership (C-CLEAR DTP, NE/S007164/1). M.M.C. is sponsored by the Croucher Foundation and Cambridge Commonwealth, European and International Trust funding through a Croucher Cambridge International Scholarship. H.L. is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (no. 42061130213) and the Royal Society of the United Kingdom through the Newton Advanced Fellowship (NAF/R1/201166). A.T.A. acknowledges funding from NERC (NE/P016383/1) and through the Met Office UKRI Clean Air Program. Y.G. is supported by a Career Development Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1163693). Special appreciation is extended to Prof. Xiao Lu (School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University) for his insightful discussion on the quality control of TOAR and CNEMC observations, and Prof. Aiyu Liu (Department of Sociology, Peking University) for her trenchant research perspectives on China's urbanization, to improve this current interdisciplinary research. H.Z.S. A.T.A. and Y.G. conceived and designed the study. H.Z.S. performed analyses with data inputs from A.T.A. Z.L. H.Z. S.K. K.H. and H.L. cross-validated by X.L. H.W. P.Y. S.G. C.G. and M.X. A.T.A. Y.G. and H.S. led in-depth discussions from perspectives of atmospheric modeling, public health, and China studies, respectively. Z.S. M.Q. M.W.L.W. M.M.C. S.G. C.G. K.R.v.D. H.Z. and Y.L. enriched the discussion and examined the language. H.Z.S. and J.Z. wrote the manuscript with comprehensive supports from all authors. The authors declare no competing interests. Publisher Copyright: © 2023 The Author(s)

PY - 2023/11/13

Y1 - 2023/11/13

N2 - Ever-increasing ambient ozone (O3) pollution in China has been exacerbating cardiopulmonary premature deaths. However, the urban-rural exposure inequity has seldom been explored. Here, we assess population-scale O3 exposure and mortality burdens between 1990 and 2019 based on integrated pollution tracking and epidemiological evidence. We find Chinese population have been suffering from climbing O3 exposure by 4.3 ± 2.8 ppb per decade as a result of rapid urbanization and growing prosperity of socioeconomic activities. Rural residents are broadly exposed to 9.8 ± 4.1 ppb higher ambient O3 than the adjacent urban citizens, and thus urbanization-oriented migration compromises the exposure-associated mortality on total population. Cardiopulmonary excess premature deaths attributable to long-term O3 exposure, 373,500 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 240,600–510,900) in 2019, is underestimated in previous studies due to ignorance of cardiovascular causes. Future O3 pollution policy should focus more on rural population who are facing an aggravating threat of mortality risks to ameliorate environmental health injustice.

AB - Ever-increasing ambient ozone (O3) pollution in China has been exacerbating cardiopulmonary premature deaths. However, the urban-rural exposure inequity has seldom been explored. Here, we assess population-scale O3 exposure and mortality burdens between 1990 and 2019 based on integrated pollution tracking and epidemiological evidence. We find Chinese population have been suffering from climbing O3 exposure by 4.3 ± 2.8 ppb per decade as a result of rapid urbanization and growing prosperity of socioeconomic activities. Rural residents are broadly exposed to 9.8 ± 4.1 ppb higher ambient O3 than the adjacent urban citizens, and thus urbanization-oriented migration compromises the exposure-associated mortality on total population. Cardiopulmonary excess premature deaths attributable to long-term O3 exposure, 373,500 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 240,600–510,900) in 2019, is underestimated in previous studies due to ignorance of cardiovascular causes. Future O3 pollution policy should focus more on rural population who are facing an aggravating threat of mortality risks to ameliorate environmental health injustice.

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U2 - 10.1016/j.xinn.2023.100517

DO - 10.1016/j.xinn.2023.100517

M3 - Article

C2 - 37822762

AN - SCOPUS:85173626678

SN - 2666-6758

VL - 4

JO - The Innovation

JF - The Innovation

IS - 6

M1 - 100517

ER -

Antagonism between ambient ozone increase and urbanization-oriented population migration on Chinese cardiopulmonary mortality

Abstract

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Multi-Country Study on Health Effects of Bushfire Air Pollution

Climate Change and Human Health in Asia: Current Impacts, Future Risks, and Health Benefits of Mitigation Policies

Improving the assessment of environmental health risks with new technology and novel approaches

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Antagonism between ambient ozone increase and urbanization-oriented population migration on Chinese cardiopulmonary mortality

Abstract

UN SDGs

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Projects

Multi-Country Study on Health Effects of Bushfire Air Pollution

Climate Change and Human Health in Asia: Current Impacts, Future Risks, and Health Benefits of Mitigation Policies

Improving the assessment of environmental health risks with new technology and novel approaches

Cite this