An expert on every street corner? Methods for eliciting distributions in geographically dispersed opinion pools

Daniel Robert Sperber, Duncan Stuart Mortimer, Paula Kate Lorgelly, David J Berlowitz

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Abstract

Recent publications outline developments in eliciting probabilistic opinions from clinical experts with which to inform structural assumptions and parameter estimates in health economic models. We outline approaches taken to date to elicit probabilistic distributions from experts within the health economic literature and outline the appropriate considerations and the resulting process in developing a new elicitation program with the aim of allowing low-cost elicitation of expert opinion from a heterogeneous and geographically dispersed opinion pool while preserving the essential features of good practice elicitation methods.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)434 - 437
Number of pages4
JournalValue in Health
Volume16
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2013

Cite this

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abstract = "Recent publications outline developments in eliciting probabilistic opinions from clinical experts with which to inform structural assumptions and parameter estimates in health economic models. We outline approaches taken to date to elicit probabilistic distributions from experts within the health economic literature and outline the appropriate considerations and the resulting process in developing a new elicitation program with the aim of allowing low-cost elicitation of expert opinion from a heterogeneous and geographically dispersed opinion pool while preserving the essential features of good practice elicitation methods.",
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An expert on every street corner? Methods for eliciting distributions in geographically dispersed opinion pools. / Sperber, Daniel Robert; Mortimer, Duncan Stuart; Lorgelly, Paula Kate; Berlowitz, David J.

In: Value in Health, Vol. 16, No. 2, 2013, p. 434 - 437.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

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AU - Mortimer, Duncan Stuart

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