Air-sea interaction and the possibility of long-range weather prediction in the Indonesian Archipelago.

Evidence is presented supporting the hypothesis that interannual fluctuations of early wet season rainfall in the Indonesian Archipelago can be successfully predicted from prior observations of atmospheric pressure anomalies. It is shown that this predictability is related to sea surface temperature anomalies. The postulated mechanism for this predictability is interaction of the atmosphere and ocean leading to a tendency for anomalies in the two media to persist. -from Author Australian Numerical Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.