Agent based simulatable city digital twin to explore dynamics of Covid-19 pandemic

Souvik Barat, Vinay Kulkarni, Aditya Paranjape, Ritu Parchure, Shrinivas Darak

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference PaperOther

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Predicting the evolution of Covid19 pandemic has been a challenge as it is significantly influenced by the characteristics of people, places and localities, dominant virus strains, extent of vaccination, and adherence to pandemic control interventions. Traditional SEIR based analyses help to arrive at a coarse-grained 'lumped up' understanding of pandemic evolution which is found wanting to determine locality-specific measures of controlling the pandemic. We comprehend the problem space from system theory perspective to develop a fine-grained simulatable city digital-twin for 'in-silico' experimentations to systematically explore - Which indicators influence infection spread to what extent? Which intervention to introduce, and when, to control the pandemic with some a-priori assurance? How best to return to a new normal without compromising individual health safety? This paper presents a digital twin centric simulation-based approach, illustrates it in a real-world context of an Indian City, and summarizes the learning and insights based on this experience.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 2022 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2022
EditorsB. Feng, G. Pedrielli, Y. Peng, S. Shashaani, E. Song, C.G. Corlu, L.H. Lee, E.P. Chew, T. Roeder, P. Lendermann
PublisherIEEE, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
Pages557-568
Number of pages12
ISBN (Electronic)9798350309713
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2022
Externally publishedYes
EventWinter Simulation Conference 2022 - Guilin, China
Duration: 11 Dec 202214 Dec 2022
https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/conhome/10015196/proceeding (Proceedings)
https://meetings.informs.org/wordpress/wsc2022/ (Website)

Publication series

NameProceedings - Winter Simulation Conference
PublisherIEEE, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers
Volume2022-December
ISSN (Print)0891-7736

Conference

ConferenceWinter Simulation Conference 2022
Abbreviated titleWSC 2022
Country/TerritoryChina
CityGuilin
Period11/12/2214/12/22
Internet address

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