A methodology for numerical prognosis evaluation using objective local weather retrieval ( Sydney).

F. Woodcock, N. Nicholls

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review


A general method of evaluating numerical model prognoses in terms of local weather forecasts using the perfect prognosis approach is described. The main advantages of the method are that clean impact studies are feasible and only a short prognosis archive period is required. Information is given concerning which prognosis fields need most improvement to benefit local forecasts. The prognosis fields are shown to require improvement particularly in the low-level temperature fields before they can provide operationally useful forecasts of Sydney, January maximum temperatures. -from Authors

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)155-161
Number of pages7
JournalAustralian Meteorological Magazine
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - 1982

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