A method for reducing information asymmetry in destination–airline relationships

David T. Tan, Tay T. R Koo, David T. Duval, Peter J. Forsyth

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

7 Citations (Scopus)


We propose a measure of business risk in air travel demand at the route level that can reduce information asymmetry during route development negotiations between tourism destinations and airlines. Aviation-exposed risk (AER) conveys information about the level of uncertainty with regard to air travel demand from an airline’s perspective. Using AER, tourism destinations and air service development teams can evaluate their risks from the perspective of the airline and its network. From there, an assessment can be made as to the value of air services in certain circumstances, including whether a direct underwrite or risk share between airlines and destinations is viable and necessary. By applying a portfolio analysis to an airline’s network, we find evidence that AER does indeed mimic the actual capacity distribution of the network. This provides support for AER as a useful risk measure to be used in practice.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)825-838
Number of pages14
JournalCurrent Issues in Tourism
Issue number8
Publication statusPublished - 11 Jun 2017


  • airlines
  • aviation
  • risks
  • route development
  • tourism risk management

Cite this