A brief history of forecasting competitions

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

20 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Forecasting competitions are now so widespread that it is often forgotten how controversial they were when first held, and how influential they have been over the years. I briefly review the history of forecasting competitions, and discuss what we have learned about their design and implementation, and what they can tell us about forecasting. I also provide a few suggestions for potential future competitions, and for research about forecasting based on competitions.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)7-14
Number of pages8
JournalInternational Journal of Forecasting
Volume36
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2020

Keywords

  • Evaluation
  • Forecasting accuracy
  • Kaggle
  • M competitions
  • Neural networks
  • Prediction intervals
  • Probability scoring
  • Time series

Cite this