Population ageing, labour mobility and sustainability of China's economic growth - a dynamic general equilibrium analysis

The project explores the effects of rural labour migration on China's econmic growth and income distribution over the period 2008-2030. using the techniques of dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling, it addresses the particular question whether acceleration of rural labour mobility can help sustain China's economic growth in the context of rapid demographic change and population ageing. The findings will inform the formulation of relevant social policies such as reform of the household registration system, removal of the other institutional barriers to rural labour mobility, and spending on social security and social infrastructure in health, education and housing.