Improving Projections of Regional Climate Change for Australia Using Detection and Attribution Studies

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concluded in 2001 that most of the observed warming over the last 50 years is likely to have been due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and that anthropogenic climate change will persist for many centuries. This project will reduce uncertainties in projections of future climate change for Australia. We will compare model-simulated climate changes during the twentieth century with observed changesglobally and in the Australaian region. These comparisions will be used with statistical modelling to estimate probability distributions for future changes in Australian climate.