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Personal profile


Professor Neville Nicholls moved to the University after 35 years with the Bureau of Meteorology where he researched many aspects of climate. At Monash, he has continued his research into how and why the climate is changing, as well as designing systems to help us adapt to climate change and variability by improving our ability to forecast and cope with droughts, bushfires, heatwaves, and other climate impacts.

For the past forty years Neville has studied the El Niandntilde;o-Southern Oscillation effect (or ENSO), a naturally occurring cyclic weather pattern that causes droughts and flooding in Australia and elsewhere. His research has demonstrated how we can use ENSO to predict climate variations including droughts, heavy rains, and tropical cyclone activity in Australia and elsewhere (as well as predicting the impacts of climate variations associated with ENSO, including bushfire activity and various human health impacts).

Neville has also been instrumental in developing historical climate and weather data bases, to improve the monitoring of climate change and variability, and ensuring these data are freely available to other researchers.

He is also designing early warning systems that help support vulnerable members of the population such as the elderly, so that they may better prepare for, and so survive, heatwaves now and in the future. Improving the way we cope with climate variations now will help us adapt to the changing climate in the future.

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Projects 2006 2014

Research Output 1977 2019

6 Citations (Scopus)

Geographic, Demographic, and Temporal Variations in the Association between Heat Exposure and Hospitalization in Brazil: A Nationwide Study between 2000 and 2015

Zhao, Q., Li, S., Coelho, M. S. Z. S., Saldiva, P. H. N., Hu, K., Arblaster, J. M., Nicholls, N., Huxley, R. R., Abramson, M. J. & Guo, Y., 1 Jan 2019, In : Environmental Health Perspectives. 127, 1, 9 p., 017001.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Open Access

Mechanisms causing east Australian spring rainfall differences between three strong El Niño events

van Rensch, P., Arblaster, J., Gallant, A. J. E., Cai, W., Nicholls, N. & Durack, P. J., Sep 2019, In : Climate Dynamics. 53, 5-6, p. 3641–3659 19 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Building evidence that effective heat alert systems save lives in southeast Australia

Nicholls, N., Loughnan, M. E. & Tapper, N. J., 2016, 2 p. Geneva Switzerland : World Meteorological Organization.

Research output: Other contributionOther

Open Access
4 Citations (Scopus)

Exploring the influence of short-term temperature patterns on temperature-related mortality: a case-study of Melbourne, Australia

Pearce, J., Hyer, M., Hyndman, R., Loughnan, M., Dennekamp, M. & Nicholls, N., 10 Nov 2016, In : Environmental Health: A Global Access Science Source. 15, 1, p. 1-10 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Open Access
22 Citations (Scopus)

Recent changes in southern Australian frost occurrence: implications for wheat production risk

Crimp, S., Zheng, B., Khimashia, N., Gobbett, D. L., Chapman, S., Howden, S. M. & Nicholls, N., 2016, In : Crop & Pasture Science. 67, 8, p. 801-811 11 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review