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Research Output 1998 2019

2019

Compounding tropical and stratospheric forcing of the record low Antarctic sea-ice in 2016

Wang, G., Hendon, H. H., Arblaster, J. M., Lim, E. P., Abhik, S. & van Rensch, P., 2 Jan 2019, In : Nature Communications. 10, 1, 9 p., 13.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Open Access
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Geographic, Demographic, and Temporal Variations in the Association between Heat Exposure and Hospitalization in Brazil: A Nationwide Study between 2000 and 2015

Zhao, Q., Li, S., Coelho, M. S. Z. S., Saldiva, P. H. N., Hu, K., Arblaster, J. M., Nicholls, N., Huxley, R. R., Abramson, M. J. & Guo, Y., 1 Jan 2019, In : Environmental Health Perspectives. 127, 1, 9 p., 017001.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Open Access
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Sustained ocean changes contributed to sudden Antarctic sea ice retreat in late 2016

Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M., Chung, C. T. Y., Holland, M. M., DuVivier, A., Thompson, L. A., Yang, D. & Bitz, C. M., 1 Jan 2019, In : Nature Communications. 10, 1, 9 p., 14.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Open Access
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2018

On the linearity of local and regional temperature changes from 1.5°C to 2°C of global warming

King, A. D., Knutti, R., Uhe, P., Mitchell, D. M., Lewis, S. C., Arblaster, J. M. & Freychet, N., 1 Sep 2018, In : Journal of Climate. 31, 18, p. 7495-7514 20 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Open Access
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Tropical Decadal Variability and the Rate of Arctic Sea Ice Decrease

Meehl, G. A., Chung, C. T. Y., Arblaster, J. M., Holland, M. M. & Bitz, C. M., 28 Oct 2018, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 45, 20, p. 11,326-11,333 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

2017

Historical and projected trends in temperature and precipitation extremes in Australia in observations and CMIP5

Alexander, L. V. & Arblaster, J. M., Mar 2017, In : Weather and Climate Extremes. 15, p. 34-56 23 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Open Access

The role of the Southern Hemisphere semiannual oscillation in the development of a precursor to central and eastern Pacific Southern Oscillation warm events

Meehl, G. A., van Loon, H. & Arblaster, J. M., 16 Jul 2017, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 44, p. 6959–6965 7 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere

Power, S., Saurral, R., Chung, C., Colman, R., Kharin, V., Boer, G., Gergis, J., Henley, B., McGregor, S., Arblaster, J., Holbrook, N. & Liguori, G., 2017, In : Past Global Changes Magazine. 25, 1, p. 32-40 9 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearch

Open Access
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2016

Antarctic sea-ice expansion between 2000 and 2014 driven by tropical Pacific decadal climate variability

Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J., Bitz, C. M., Chung, C. T. Y. & Teng, H., 1 Aug 2016, In : Nature Geoscience. 9, 8, p. 590-595 6 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Interaction of the recent 50 year SST trend and La Nina 2010: amplification of the Southern Annular Mode and Australian springtime rainfall

Lim, E. P., Hendon, H. H., Arblaster, J. M., Chung, C., Moise, A. F., Hope, P., Young, G. & Zhao, M., 1 Oct 2016, In : Climate Dynamics. 47, 7-8, p. 2273-2291 19 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

The impact of the Southern Annular Mode on future changes in Southern Hemisphere rainfall

Lim, E-P., Hendon, H. H., Arblaster, J., Delage, F., Nguyen, H., Min, S-K. & Wheeler, M. C., 16 Jul 2016, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 43, 13, p. 7160-7167 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Tropical pacific SST drivers of recent antarctic sea ice trends

Purich, A., England, M. H., Cai, W., Chikamoto, Y., Timmermann, A., Fyfe, J. C., Frankcombe, L., Meehl, G. A. & Arblaster, J., 2016, In : Journal of Climate. 29, 24, p. 8931-8948 18 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

What caused the record-breaking heat across Australia in October 2015?

Hope, P., Wang, G., Lim, E. P., Hendon, H. H. & Arblaster, J., 1 Dec 2016, In : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 97, 12, p. S122-S126 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

File
2015

Contributors to the record high temperatures across Australia in late spring 2014

Hope, P., Lim, E-P., Wang, G., Hendon, H. H. & Arblaster, J. M., 2015, In : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 96, 12, p. S149-S169 21 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Open Access
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Disappearance of the southeast U.S. "warming hole" with the late-1990s transition of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M. & Chung, C. T. Y., 16 Jul 2015, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 42, 13, p. 5564-5570 7 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Open Access
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The Community Earth System Model (CESM) large ensemble project: a community resource for studying climate change in the presence of internal climate variability

Kay, J. E., Deser, C., Phillips, A. S., Mai, A., Hannay, C., Strand, G., Arblaster, J. M., Bates, S. C., Danabasoglu, G., Edwards, J. C., Holland, M. M., Kushner, P. J., Lamarque, J-F., Lawrence, D. M., Lindsay, K., Middleton, A., Munoz, E., Neale, R. B., Oleson, K. W., Polvani, L. M. & 1 othersVertenstein, M., Aug 2015, In : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 96, 8, p. 1333-1349 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Open Access
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2014

Causes and predictability of the record wet east Australian spring 2010

Hendon, H. H., Lim, E-P., Arblaster, J. M. & Anderson, D. L. T., Mar 2014, In : Climate Dynamics. 42, 5-6, p. 1155-1174 20 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Climate model simulations of the observed early-2000s hiatus of global warming

Meehl, G. A., Teng, H. & Arblaster, J. M., 1 Jan 2014, In : Nature Climate Change. 4, 10, p. 898-902 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Open Access
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Nonlinear precipitation response to El Nino and global warming in the Indo-Pacific

Chung, C. T. Y., Power, S. B., Arblaster, J. M., Rashid, H. A. & Roff, G. L., Apr 2014, In : Climate Dynamics. 42, 7-8, p. 1837-1856 20 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Pattern scaling: its strengths and limitations, and an update on the latest model simulations

Tebaldi, C. & Arblaster, J. M., Feb 2014, In : Climatic Change. 122, 3, p. 459-471 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Stratospheric Ozone Changes and Climate

Arblaster, J. M., Gillett, N. P., Calvo, N., Forster, P. M., Polvani, L. M., Son, W. S., Waugh, D. W., Young, P. J., Barnes, E. A., Cionni, I., Garfinkel, C. I., Gerber, E. P., Hardiman, S. C., Hurst, D. F., Lamarque, J-F., Lim, E-P., Meredith, M. P., Perlwitz, J., Portmann, R. W., Previdi, M. & 4 othersSigmond, M., Swart, N. C., Vernier, J-P. & Wu, Y., 2014, Scientific assessment of ozone depletion: 2014. Ajavon, A-L. N., Newman, P. A., Pyle, J. A. & Ravishankara, A. R. (eds.). Geneva Switzerland: World Meteorological Organization, Vol. 55. 61 p. (Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project; no. 55).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter (Report)Researchpeer-review

Open Access
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Understanding Australia's hottest September on record

Arblaster, J. M., Lim, E-P., Hendon, H. H., Trewin, B. C., Wheeler, M. C., Liu, G. Q. & Braganza, K., Sep 2014, In : Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 95, 9, p. S37-S41 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

2013

Climate change projections in CESM1(CAM5) compared to CCSM4

Meehl, G. A., Washington, W. M., Arblaster, J. M., Hu, A., Teng, H., Kay, J. E., Gettelmann, A., Lawrence, D. M., Sanderson, B. M. & Strand, W. G., 2013, In : Journal of Climate. 26, 17, p. 6287 - 6308 22 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Could a future "Grand Solar Minimum" like the Maunder Minimum stop global warming?

Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M. & Marsh, D. R., 2013, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 40, 9, p. 1789 - 1793 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Externally forced and internally generated decadal climate variability associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation

Meehl, G. A., Hu, A., Arblaster, J. M., Fasullo, J. T. & Trenberth, K. E., 2013, In : Journal of Climate. 26, 18, p. 7298 - 7310 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Identifying human influences on atmospheric temperature

Santer, B. D., Painter, J. F., Mears, C. A., Doutriaux, C. M., Caldwell, P., Arblaster, J. M., Cameron-Smith, P. J., Gillett, N. P., Gleckler, P. J., Lanzante, J. R., Perlwitz, J., Solomon, S., Stott, P. A., Taylor, K. E., Terray, L., Thorne, P. W., Wehner, M. F., Wentz, F. J., Wigley, T. M. L., Wilcox, L. J. & 1 othersZou, C-Z., 2013, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. 110, 1, p. 26 - 33 8 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Open Access

Long-term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility

Collins, M., Knutti, R., Arblaster, J., Dufresne, J-L., Fichefet, T., Friedlingstein, P., Gao, X., Gutowski, W. J., Johns, T., Krinner, G., Shongwe, M., Tebaldi, C., Weaver, A. J., Wehner, M. F., Allen, M. R., Andrews, T., Beyerle, U., Bitz, C. M., Bony, S. & Booth, B. B. B., 2013, Climate Change 2013 - The Physical Science Basis: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Stocker, T. F., Qin, D., Plattner, G-K., Tignor, M. M. B., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V. & Midgley, P. M. (eds.). New York NY USA: Cambridge University Press, p. 1029-1136 108 p. (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapter (Report)Researchpeer-review

Open Access
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Long-term ozone changes and associated climate impacts in CMIP5 simulations

Eyring, V., Arblaster, J. M., Cionni, I., Sedlacek, J., Perlwitz, J., Young, P. J., Bekki, S., Bergmann, D. J., Cameron-Smith, P. J., Collins, W. J., Faluvegi, G. S., Gottschaldt, K-D., Horowitz, L. W., Kinnison, D. E. T., Lamarque, J-F., Marsh, D. R., Saint-Martin, D., Shindell, D. T., Sudo, K., Szopa, S. & 1 othersWatanabe, S., 2013, In : Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. 118, 10, p. 5029 - 5060 32 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

2012

Climate system response to external forcings and climate change projections in CCSM4

Meehl, G. A., Washington, W. M., Arblaster, J. M., Hu, A., Teng, H., Tebaldi, C., Sanderson, B. M., Lamarque, J-F., Conley, A., Strand, W. G. & White, J. B., 2012, In : Journal of Climate. 25, 11, p. 3661 - 3683 23 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Mechanisms contributing to the warming hole and the consequent U.S. east-west differential of heat extremes

Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M. & Branstator, G., 2012, In : Journal of Climate. 25, 18, p. 6394 - 6408 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Monsoon regimes and processes in CCSM4. Part I: the Asian-Australian monsoon

Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M., Caron, J. M., Annamalai, H., Jochum, M., Chakraborty, A. & Murtugudde, R., 2012, In : Journal of Climate. 25, 8, p. 2583 - 2608 26 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Monsoon regimes and processes in CCSM4. Part II: African and American monsoon systems

Cook, K. H., Meehl, G. A. & Arblaster, J. M., 2012, In : Journal of Climate. 25, 8, p. 2609 - 2621 13 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Relating the strength of the Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation (TBO) to the phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO)

Meehl, G. A. & Arblaster, J. M., 2012, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 39, 20, p. 1 - 6 6 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Relative outcomes of climate change mitigation related to global temperature versus sea-level rise

Meehl, G. A., Hu, A., Tebaldi, C., Arblaster, J. M., Washington, W. M., Teng, H., Sanderson, B. M., Ault, T. R., Strand, W. G. & White, J. B., 2012, In : Nature Climate Change. 2, 8, p. 576 - 580 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

The impact of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation on maximum temperature extremes

Arblaster, J. M. & Alexander, L. V., 2012, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 39, 20, p. 1 - 5 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

2011

Decadal variability of Asian-Australian monsoon-ENSO-TBO relationships

Meehl, G. A. & Arblaster, J. M., Sep 2011, In : Journal of Climate. 24, 18, p. 4925-4940 16 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Future climate change in the Southern Hemisphere: competing effects of ozone and greenhouse gases

Arblaster, J. M., Meehl, G. A. & Karoly, D. J., 2011, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 38, 2, p. 1 - 6 6 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Mapping model agreement on future climate projections

Tebaldi, C., Arblaster, J. M. & Knutti, R., 2011, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 38, 23, p. 1 - 5 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Model-based evidence of deep-ocean heat uptake during surface-temperature hiatus periods

Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M., Fasullo, J. T., Hu, A. & Trenberth, K. E., 2011, In : Nature Climate Change. 1, 10, p. 360 - 364 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

2010

On potential causes for an under-estimated global ocean heat content trend in CMIP3 models

Cai, W., Cowan, T., Arblaster, J. M. & Wijffels, S., 2010, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 37, 17, p. 1 - 6 6 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

2009

A lagged warm event-like response to peaks in solar forcing in the Pacific region

Meehl, G. A. & Arblaster, J. M., 2009, In : Journal of Climate. 22, 13, p. 3647 - 3660 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Amplifying the Pacific climate system response to a small 11-year solar cycle forcing

Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M., Matthes, K., Sassi, F. & van Loon, H., 2009, In : Science. 325, 5944, p. 1114 - 1118 5 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Assessing trends in observed and modelled climate extremes over Australia in relation to future projections

Alexander, L. V. & Arblaster, J. M., 2009, In : International Journal of Climatology. 29, p. 417 - 435 19 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

2008

A coupled air-sea response mechanism to solar forcing in the Pacific region

Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M. & Branstator, G., 15 Jun 2008, In : Journal of Climate. 21, 12, p. 2883-2897 15 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Effects of black carbon aerosols on the Indian monsoon

Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M. & Collins, W. D., 15 Jun 2008, In : Journal of Climate. 21, 12, p. 2869-2882 14 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

2007

Contributions of natural and anthropogenic forcing to changes in temperature extremes over the United States

Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M. & Tebaldi, C., 16 Oct 2007, In : Geophysical Research Letters. 34, 19, L19709.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Erratum: Going to the extremes - An intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events (Climatic Change (2006) 79, (185-211) DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9051-4)

Tebaldi, C., Hayhoe, K., Arblaster, J. M. & Meehl, G. A., 1 May 2007, In : Climatic Change. 82, 1-2, p. 233-234 2 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalComment / DebateOtherpeer-review

2006

Attribution of the late-twentieth-century rainfall decline in southwest Australia

Timbal, B., Arblaster, J. M. & Power, S., 15 May 2006, In : Journal of Climate. 19, 10, p. 2046-2062 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Climate change projections for the twenty-first century and climate change commitment in the CCSM3

Meehl, G. A., Washington, W. M., Santer, B. D., Collins, W. D., Arblaster, J. M., Hu, A., Lawrence, D. M., Teng, H., Buja, L. E. & Strand, W. G., 1 Jun 2006, In : Journal of Climate. 19, 11, p. 2597-2616 20 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review

Contributions of external forcings to southern annular mode trends

Arblaster, J. M. & Meehl, G. A., 15 Jun 2006, In : Journal of Climate. 19, 12, p. 2896-2905 10 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleResearchpeer-review