Forecast of category 1 & 2 Emergency Department respiratory presentations in an Australian metropolitan Emergency Department 2020

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Description

The CoVID19 Preparedness Project has uncovered a worrying trend in high acuity respiratory presentations. Forecasted peak demand using the Exponential Smoothing Model will be in August 2020, where we will see 286% [95% CI 79.8-394.0] more category 1 and 2 respiratory resuscitations than five years ago. The peak has not even started.

#healthcare#hospitals#ventilators#resuscitation

Period28 Mar 2020

Media contributions

1

Media contributions

  • TitleForecast of category 1 & 2 Emergency Department respiratory presentations in an Australian metropolitan Emergency Department
    Degree of recognitionNational
    Media name/outletLinkedIn
    Media typeWeb
    CountryAustralia
    Date28/03/20
    DescriptionThe CoVID19 Preparedness Project has uncovered a worrying trend in high acuity respiratory presentations. Forecasted peak demand using the Exponential Smoothing Model will be in August 2020, where we will see 286% [95% CI 79.8-394.0] more category 1 and 2 respiratory resuscitations than five years ago. The peak has not even started.
    URLhttps://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:6649558925991641088/
    PersonsAndy Lim

Keywords

  • Emergency Medicine
  • Time Series Analysis
  • Respiratory